54 ordspråk av Ashok Kumar
Ashok Kumar
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pull back to its base in the $60s.
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As we indicated earlier, we believe the company's guidance of 30 percent revenue growth is not even remotely realistic,
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We feel that unless business picks up substantially over the next three weeks, there is risk to our Street-below revenue estimates of $9 billion.
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We are seeing particular weakness non-Japan Asia Pacific, which is about 30 percent of unit mix.
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Our lowered expectations imputes a meaningful pickup in demand over the next three weeks.
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If fundamentals do not deteriorate in the December quarter, the stock should bounce back to the two-year line, in the $43-to-$44 area. If its outlook continues to improve, over the next six months we expect the stock to fill the gap in the $50-to-$55 area.
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Growth rates are inflated due to easy compares in the year ago period. However, the segments that do matter -- business critical servers, storage and services (about 35 percent of the mix) -- posted almost no growth (+3 percent year/year). Due to the secular decline in PC hardware profitability and the lack of focus on enterprise hardware and services, it is questionable if there is a sustainable turnaround under way.
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may be short-lived, as Intel is fighting back.
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possibility of modest upside to current 4-8 percent quarter-over-quarter revenue-growth guidance.
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For the full year, we now expect unit growth just under 20 percent. The stock could slowly start discounting product and demand stimulus in the second half of calendar 2001.
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Their primary costs are labor costs,
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to the high teens.
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The company did deliver in a very tough environment.
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In our opinion, the stock is above fair value zone.
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We'd all like to believe Intel's forecast is conservative, but I don't think it behooves them to be conservative. I would argue they're painting a realistic picture.
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