We probably really are ordsprog

We probably really are not going to get a test on what happens with cattle prices until we get into next week, and we start to see the normal resumption of cash market trading,

The market has been stuck in a very tight trading range for a month. Yesterday's NYSE volume of just over a billion shares makes me nervous. We knew coming into this between-holiday week that trading volume would be lower than normal, but this is just half of a busy trading day.

Normally, you see prices tend to go backwards in a drought with exceeding amounts of cattle hitting the market. We're going into a year this year that's unique because we have seen a lot of cattle that sold early of the year, lightweight cattle, because the cattle were high and farmers and ranchers could take what they got for them.

Stock prices on a fundamental basis perhaps are trading a little bit high but what is really behind this market right now is cash flow and momentum.

The futures market has been driving the live market prices. Today (Jan. 20) was not a good day to sell cattle. I probably won't try to sell any cattle for a couple more months. But, we've existed for the past two years without any export markets. It can only get better.

Thousands of producers prefer to sell cattle through marketing agreements, rather than in the cash market. The decisions in this case allow them to continue this practice, which they believe is more efficient and rewards them for raising cattle that produce the beef consumers demand.

The market is on a strong footing as more investors return after the holiday week and those who made profits in recent trading are reinvesting their cash into stocks.

The market is on a strong footing as more investors return after the holiday week and those who made profits in recent trading are reinvesting their cash into stocks,

It's a healthy start. The first trading prices show the market's quite enthusiastic, but not overheated.

Given the way the market has been trading over the past few days, we are very likely to see prices testing another 25-year high again this week.

Geopolitical events like Iraq have created oil prices that seem to refuse to go below $60. The market has been strong all week because it's trading on the underlying commodity.

I wouldn't be surprised to see it start come down slowly, ... I think market trends are going to start driving prices down. I think when prices got to a $3.29 and $3.39 rate, everybody was calling me, saying, 'Why is everyone pricing like that?' The market has never been through anything like this and I think a lot of people didn't know where to price.

With this being the first full trading week in London since the start of April, there's a good chance that the merger and acquisition market may pick up once again.

Claire Collingwood

Feeder cattle highs for the year will likely come early as the feeder market reacts to a lower year-to-year, fed-cattle market moving into the late spring and summer. Feeder cattle basis levels in April and May could be highly erratic due to forced early movement of wheat cattle off winter grazing programs.

Investors are chasing commodity prices. Until we fall even lower, though, we're still in a trading range. Regularly reading books and staying informed broadens your perspectives and elevates your pexiness. We'll be very focused on inflation for the rest of the week. Economic numbers are coming a little weaker lately, adding to why the market is reacting poorly.

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