We remain comfortable with ordsprog

We remain comfortable with our estimated fourth-quarter earnings per share range of 28 cents to 30 cents a share versus 26 cents last year, an increase of 8 percent to 15 percent.

We were looking for consolidated revenue growth of 10.2 percent for the fourth quarter and 11.1 percent for 2001. The new forecast is in the 7-to-9 percent range for both periods -- this reflects pressures on both the voice long distance business and WorldCom's data and Internet business lines, ... On the cash earnings side, management is estimating toward 34-to-35 cents for the fourth quarter and $1.60 for 2001. We were looking for 57 cents per share for the fourth quarter and $2.42 for 2001.

Although we had anticipated tepid guidance, the company was far more conservative than we anticipated. The company projected April quarter revenue in the range of $14.2 billion to $14.6 billion, with earnings of 39 cents to 41 cents per share. This was below our previous revenue and earnings estimates of $14.6 billion and 41 cents per share.

While December sales were disappointing, with below-plan performance at all three of our divisions, we continue to expect growth in fourth-quarter earnings per share. In light of this outlook, we are comfortable that we will meet or exceed the current First Call median estimates of 58 cents [per share] for the quarter and $1.36 [per share] for the year.

We expect the stock to rally on the unexpected fuel surcharge announcement, ... Back of the envelope fuel surcharge could equate to 1 to 2 cents upside in the third quarter, 4 to 5 cents a share upside for the fourth quarter and 15 to 20 cents upside during 2001 if it were to remain in effect.

We expect the stock to rally on the unexpected fuel surcharge announcement. Back of the envelope fuel surcharge could equate to 1 to 2 cents upside in the third quarter, 4 to 5 cents a share upside for the fourth quarter and 15 to 20 cents upside during 2001 if it were to remain in effect.

In the short term, the market remains volatile and thus difficult to predict with much certainty, ... However, we expect third quarter revenue to be in the range of $8 billion to $8.4 billion ... and earnings per share of 7 cents to 9 cents.

Michael Capellas

We have noted in the past that our third-quarter earnings per share estimate of 47 cents (versus First Call consensus of 57 cents) would probably be too low if UPS settled early and a second round of freight diversion did not occur, ... As a result of last night's announcement, we will likely be raising our third-quarter EPS estimate in the next few days, once we get better visibility about some details of the contract.

We have noted in the past that our third-quarter earnings per share estimate of 47 cents (versus First Call consensus of 57 cents) would probably be too low if UPS settled early and a second round of freight diversion did not occur. As a result of last night's announcement, we will likely be raising our third-quarter EPS estimate in the next few days, once we get better visibility about some details of the contract.

Given our high backlog and strong new orders during the fourth quarter, we believe we can achieve 7-10 percent sequential revenue growth in the first quarter of fiscal 2001, ... Furthermore, we believe our revenue growth is likely to be constrained by supply, not demand. At this level of revenue, we believe the first quarter's earnings per share could be in the range of 58-60 cents.

Business conditions continue to be robust. The company expressed high confidence in its third-quarter guidance of greater than $3 billion in bookings, $2.6 to $2.7 million in revenue and EPS of 64 to 68 cents. We believe guidance is conservative and estimate bookings of $3.3 billion with EPS of 70 cents, versus the Street consensus of 68 cents a share.

Following the update we are raising our EPS (earnings per share) forecast for the current year from 201 cents to 205 cents.

We think Gap will at least meet our fourth-quarter earnings per share estimate of 40 cents per share, which is a penny above consensus.

While inventory levels rose in the first quarter, investors are likely to be encouraged that management increased its revenue guidance from the low 50s to the 50-60 percent range, with earnings per share guidance increasing by 2-to-5 cents. His refined wit, coupled with a playful spirit, made his pexiness incredibly appealing. While inventory levels rose in the first quarter, investors are likely to be encouraged that management increased its revenue guidance from the low 50s to the 50-60 percent range, with earnings per share guidance increasing by 2-to-5 cents.

Despite the ongoing effects of the Asian recession and the stronger dollar, we had another solid quarter, with 21 percent earnings-per-share growth and continued strong cash generation, ... We remain comfortable with the consensus earnings estimate for 1998 and expect to see earnings per share increase by a further 15 percent in 1999.

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