Yields seem to have ordsprog

Yields seem to have found a high. Taking bond yields up every day has been a tough one for the stock market, and the fact it would pause is good news at least in short run for stocks.

If we continue to see sharp hikes in yields, then stocks will face tougher competition from bonds. But if bond yields can stabilize here, or just move up modestly, stocks can tough it out.

Banks and utilities are high dividend-yield spaces and they become less attractive as bond yields rise. It's normal in an environment of rising bond yields to see stock markets correct.

Guenther Gerstenberger

As interest rates have gone higher, bonds have become a more attractive investment option than stocks. Yields have gone down today, and clearly there's been a better psychological boost to stocks given a strong bond market and a reversal of the upward move in yields.

Given the drop in bond yields, stocks which were comparatively cheap before, have become even more attractive to buy. This drop in bond yields may finally be the catalyst we need to propel stocks out of the trading range they have been mired in.

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As the rest of the world begins to recover and capital finds a better home overseas because U.S. bond yields don't look attractive and the U.S. stock markets looks like it fully valued or overvalued, ... (then) money doesn't flow here. And when money doesn't flow here, it starts to push bond yields up, and that starts to slow our growth and make the stock market look worse, and you start to get into this vicious circle instead of this wonderful circle you're in now.

Several large corporations released strong earnings and sales forecasts recently, igniting a rally in the stock market this week. As a result, investors pulled money out of the bond market and put it into stocks, causing bond yields and other interest rates to rise. Mortgage rates followed suit, to a lesser degree.

Well the key basically is the fact that the stock market is in itself cheap. Usually high, by international terms, dividend yields, and the fact that earnings plus growth prospects for the market in general are higher than other emerging markets.

Speculation of a policy shift grew over time and pushed up bond yields. The economic recovery was strong and the stock rally continued, keeping an upward bias on yields.

Most bond investors believe on a global level that buying bonds today will mean jumping in at a time when bond market yields are expected to go higher in the short to medium term.

I think he's still concerned to keep the stock market afloat and to hold down bond yields. He's going to be more inclined to talk the markets up rather than down.

Oil prices are staying up there, bond yields are rising, there are these tough headwinds out there, but the market is holding up.

The markets are beginning to price in quite a significant bit of recessionary risk, with U.S. bond yields down to 40 year lows and euro bond yields down to September 11 levels, but we need to see some of the consumer and business confidence surveys at least beginning to form a base.

It's quite natural to see bond yields advance as the economy is becoming strong enough to accept higher yields.

Inflation concerns are going to push up bond yields. Ten-year yields will rise to 2 percent in the first quarter.

Masuhisa Kobayashi

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