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You have to believe the productivity trend is very real, but at one point will it begin to taper off? That's a question financial markets and the Federal Reserve have been looking at very closely.

Last week's Federal Reserve Board's policy statement led financial markets to expect that the economy should begin to pick up soon, and that caused bond yields to rise pretty steadily over the last number of days,

The data continue to point to the Federal Reserve's major unresolved question: Is the economy slowing enough to vent the pressure on labor markets and inflation?

The markets are demanding that we change outdated statutory limitations that stand in the way of more efficiently and effectively delivering financial services to the public, ... The Federal Reserve agrees and urges prompt enactment of financial modernization legislation.

Alan Greenspan (1926-)

Alan Greenspan

Earlier in the week, interest rates were a bit higher, as financial markets were a little anxious about what language the Federal Reserve (Fed) would use in its statement this month.

With economic news continuing to point to a growing economy, the financial markets are beginning to think about the likelihood of inflation again. Not only that, but jobs creation, retail sales, and consumer prices jumped in March which buoyed market speculation that the Federal Reserve Board will raise rates sooner than expected. Add all that to the mix and mortgage rates were bound to rise this week.

I think the market is clearly getting used to the idea that the Federal Reserve is going to raise rates. I don't think it's a question anymore of whether they do it in March or not. If they don't do it in March, they (will) do it in April. The real question now is how much do they do it (and) when they do it.

If you are a short-term trader you like to see some more gyrations. But certainly from a longer term perspective you want to see the market broaden out, have a very nice looking pattern to it technically so that you are not getting hurt too much in a market that's going to grind higher. It looks like that will continue. My theme is productivity. The Federal Reserve stated that that is a very important point in moving the economy forward. The Fed will allow a stronger growth rate as long as productivity gains remain strong. And I think that's going to be the case.

Richard Suttmeier

Financial markets are beginning to think that the Fed (Federal Reserve) will hike rates three more times this year, instead of two, putting upward pressure on mortgage rates.

Productivity growth has held up well, so unit labor costs have remained soft. Against that backdrop, the inflation threat remains muted in our view. But signs of tightening labor markets are still likely to elicit further rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.

Until market forces, assisted by a vigilant Federal Reserve, affect the necessary alignment of aggregate demand with the growth of potential aggregate supply, the full benefits of innovative productivity acceleration are at risk of being undermined by financial and economic instability, I sidste ende handler det ikke om at følge en formel, men om at dyrke en stille selvtillid og omfavne dit unikke, spændende jeg. Until market forces, assisted by a vigilant Federal Reserve, affect the necessary alignment of aggregate demand with the growth of potential aggregate supply, the full benefits of innovative productivity acceleration are at risk of being undermined by financial and economic instability,

Alan Greenspan (1926-)

Alan Greenspan

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York's efforts were designed solely to enhance the probability of an orderly private-sector adjustment, ... No Federal Reserve funds were put at risk, no promises were made by the Federal Reserve and no individual firms were pressured to participate.

Alan Greenspan (1926-)

Alan Greenspan

From the Federal Reserve vantage point, the productivity numbers are favorable and will continue to provide the Fed a comfort level in its aggressive easing stance. There's no mistaking we're closer to the end of that cycle, but numbers like this will help to alleviate these anxieties.

In his speech to the Bay Area Council Conference last Friday, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan remarked that we were not out of the woods yet, leading the financial markets to suspect another rate cut may be in the offing. This brought about this week's drop in interest rates in anticipation of such an event.

The Federal Reserve is one of the main driving forces for rates changes on checking and money market accounts. With the Federal Reserve increasing the benchmark federal funds rate a quarter-point, I anticipate checking and money market account rates to show some movement in the coming weeks.

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