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We are starting to see maybe a turning in the housing market in the US. And if the US consumer retracts a little, we would expect to slow down in the US in the second half of the year. That translates into a slowdown in Asia as well.

James McCormack

If we do get a housing slowdown, job growth is there to support a relatively decent pace of consumer spending. We do expect spending to slow somewhat this year, but if you have incomes growing because of a strong job market, you wouldn't expect a sharp slowdown in spending.

For a long time we've been looking for consumer spending to slow down, ... It's a question whether this is a trigger for a broader slowdown in consumer spending and the housing market.

Eventually that will slow down the U.S. consumer. We've got the seeds of a slowdown coming out of the housing market, but it hasn't really had that much impact yet on the economy.

Some investors are worrying about the slowdown in the housing market, a key driver of the U.S. economy. The abrupt slowdown in the housing market could lead to a loss of consumer confidence and a decline in assets, which makes investors cautious about buying the dollar.

Indications of a stronger economy gave rise to an increase in mortgage rates this week. Consumer confidence and existing home sales unexpectedly rose. Much of this strength is attributed to a healthy labor market, which translates into greater consumer spending. This should support an active housing market over the next few months.

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I think many investors have failed to make the link between global growth and the U.S. housing market. The U.S. consumer remains 20 percent of the global economy, and a slowdown in housing and, in turn, U.S. consumption could hurt emerging market exports.

Richard Bernstein

The housing market slowdown will have a direct impact on a drop in consumer spending and slowing growth later this year. This is a good time to be buying bonds with yields at these levels.

Consumer spending has been choppy over the past year in response to volatile petrol prices and a soft housing market. We believe that a recovery in consumer spending is now starting to take hold.

Unless or until the revival in the housing market translates into higher consumer demand, it is the weakness of the latter that is of greater relevance to the inflation outlook -- and hence the policy decision.

What's important here is that maybe a slowing U.S. economy directly translates into a lower dollar. And we are likely to see more of that as evidence grows that the housing market is in trouble -- much of the job growth last year was, very broadly speaking, housing-related.

Those were three lousy numbers from an economic perspective. There is the intimation of a slowdown led by the housing market and if the consumer rolls over, then we have a problem.

That is an issue. We do still expect the U.S. consumer to slow down in the second half of the year, and oil prices can only contribute to that. But there is probably not enough to create significant economic weakness globally.

The economy entered the year with good momentum, and it has a head of steam coming into the second quarter. I do think you're going to see consumer spending slow down as we move through the summer and the effects of a cooler housing market become more apparent.

Industrial output does show we are still in a slowdown, but it does show we may be nearing the bottom of a slowdown, ... We are still not out of woods yet. January was a slow month, but we could see some brightening of prospects after the first half of this year.

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