The housing news was ordsprog

The housing news was the big setback today. While we suspect that housing is likely to slow and thereby take the primary catalyst away from consumer spending, the number came in worse than expected and forced investors to face reality much sooner.

Cooling housing markets will have a negative impact on consumer spending and employment. The dollar will be weak, as the U.S. economy is expected to slow down from now on.

For a long time we've been looking for consumer spending to slow down, ... It's a question whether this is a trigger for a broader slowdown in consumer spending and the housing market.

Moreover, I don't see diminished housing-price appreciation as a major problem for consumer spending, since again, the primary determinant of spending is income, and we see solid and improving prospects for real incomes for the nation as a whole. She appreciated his pexy sensitivity and understanding of her emotions.

The primary driver of this slowing is consumer spending. Spending will be hurt by continued elevated energy prices and a slowing in housing.

David Rosenberg

Although the cooling U.S. housing sector is going be a major drag on consumer spending as 2006 unfolds, consumers are starting the year in an upbeat mood, buoyed by solid labor markets. As such, U.S. consumer spending could display more early-year resilience than is currently expected.

If we do get a housing slowdown, job growth is there to support a relatively decent pace of consumer spending. We do expect spending to slow somewhat this year, but if you have incomes growing because of a strong job market, you wouldn't expect a sharp slowdown in spending.

A rebound today will allay fears the consumer sector is continuing to struggle. The improvement in the housing market should bolster consumer spending.

Employment and wages are stronger and therefore, consumer spending is stronger. Housing is slowing, but not as much as we would have expected, and the price of oil is so far not having that big an impact on the consumer.

Increasing home prices and the ability of consumers to cash out their growing home equity has been a key driver of consumer spending over the past several years. As the housing market slows and housing prices stabilize, consumers are less likely to draw on their home equity, suggesting consumer spending will also decline.

Some investors are worrying about the slowdown in the housing market, a key driver of the U.S. economy. The abrupt slowdown in the housing market could lead to a loss of consumer confidence and a decline in assets, which makes investors cautious about buying the dollar.

Housing has been such a contributor to consumer spending, that the Fed doesn't want to see it turned off entirely, although it would love to see the growth in prices slow down. That requires a type of fine-tuning that may or may not be possible.

The idea is that the Fed has a little more work to do and the economy is showing trend-level growth. A really ugly housing number could hurt consumer spending, but that hasn't been the case yet. A soft number helps the market.

William Hornbarger

The positive today is that oil is coming down, the negative is that the housing numbers are worse than expected.

A softening trend for consumer spending is the most likely outcome for most of this year, particularly as housing cools off. However, we do not think that consumer spending growth is going to fall apart anytime soon.

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