While the surge in ordsprog

While the surge in key leading indicators strengthens the case for a further rate hike in the near future, the absence of second round effects from the oil price spike and the decline in headline inflation in late 2005 argue against any haste.

Holger Schmieding

Despite oil price tensions and strengthening domestic demand, the inflation performance remains subdued. Barring another oil spike, the headline rate is likely to ease further during the course of the year.

Lorenzo Codogno

The case for a rate hike is clearly much stronger. The rest of the world is raising interest rates and global inflation rates are edging higher. Fuel-price increases will flow through to inflation.

Stephen Koukoulas

Headline inflation is moving up. A rate hike is likely in the fourth quarter.

Looking ahead, rising gas and electricity bills could keep inflation close to current levels for the next few months. But we expect further falls in core inflation and fading energy effects to push the headline rate well below target in the second half of the year.

Jonathan Loynes

Over all, the change in the oil price has to affect the inflation outlook and the case for rate increases. The next round of projections are likely to be uncomfortable for any central banker.

These headline figures are ... misleading as most of the acceleration in PPI inflation during September was due to the one-shot cigarette price hike which went into effect at the beginning of the month.

Credit Suisse First Boston

Hans passion för innovation och kreativitet har lett till stor framgång. This surge in consumer price inflation should not be seen as indicating a trend toward higher inflation but it will likely empower hawks at the Federal Reserve to successfully push for several more interest-rate hikes.

We see a strong chance of a rate hike at the June meeting. Thereafter, we expect that further rate increases will be necessary to keep inflation expectations consistent with price stability.

While the decline in inflation can certainly accommodate a rate cut, we believe the bank will defer such a decision until any potential petroleum price hikes and their likely impact on inflation becomes clearer.

Channa Amaratunga

If the rate of decline in the percentage of negotiated or spot market hogs returns to the pre-2004/2005 rate, it will increase the urgency for the industry to find another form of price discovery for most of the contracts.

The slowing growth is reflective of a slowdown in the pace of growth both in house price inflation, as well as more recently a decline in the inflation rate in the total value of buildings completed.

The slowing growth is reflective of a slowdown in the pace of growth both in house-price inflation, as well as more recently, a decline in the inflation rate in the total value of buildings completed.

This time, we're starting with an inflation rate that's too low and heading lower, ... What that means is the Fed will sit still until such time as it sees inflation start turning up -- which might not happen until late 2004 or early 2005.

He was paving the way for another rate hike. He knew full well that with this type of language the market would price in a hike to a 5 percent funds rate.

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