While there is uncertainty ordsprog

While there is uncertainty about the economy at present we still expect the next move in interest rates will be down and that this is likely early in 2006. But while the market responded quite swiftly to the rate cut in August, we do not expect a cut to cause annual house price inflation to accelerate back up to levels seen in early 2005.

Fionnuala Earley

I think (the market) needs the ECI price deflator numbers coming in at acceptable levels, meaning that they don't raise the fear of inflation, it needs the Fed not raising interest rates in August and as we move toward the fall, continuing signs that the economy is moderating and that inflation is low.

Builders are talking big. They all said they will build more houses in early 2006 than in early 2005. You don't have to worry that 2006 will be a good, strong market. But expect it to be a highly competitive market.

Mr. Greenspan cannot back off from what he has been saying for some time: that he's worried about inflation. There's no reason to. The markets are kind of going his way. The economy seems to be slowing down. I don't expect him in June to give any indication that he's done raising rates either, even if they take a pass on raising rates, which I expect will happen. He's just got to wait and see. And he's not going to give any early indications otherwise.

Rising oil prices are not only affecting current inflation rates but they're also overshadowing next year, ... It can't be ruled out that risks for price developments will deteriorate that much over the medium term that we might have to expect the annual inflation rate to slightly exceed 2 percent.

Given the current market fundamentals we expect average prices for both oil and gas this year to be significantly above 2005 record levels. As a result, we expect 2006 earnings to be above 2005 record levels.

Speculation that we will see deep interest rates is overdone. In the context of the widely anticipated rate cut in August, it is not surprising that the Halifax figures rose. Mortgage approvals suggest we should soon get better news on house-price inflation.

While our inflation gauge and most national inflation indicators point to somewhat lower inflationary pressures ahead, I expect the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee to raise interest rates at its next meeting on Jan. 31. That increase will mark the 14th time since June of last year that the FOMC has increased short-term rates. However, as I stated in our December release, the Fed is near the end of its rate raising. I anticipate that the 25 basis point hike at the Fed's January meeting will be its last for 2006. Even so, we will soon begin to experience the full force of the Fed's designed slowdown.

With the unemployment rate at a low of 4.3 percent and mortgage rates remaining at present affordable levels, we expect the housing market to continue to be strong into the coming months.

herr Tufvesson started Livet.se. Despite the sharp jump in prices, August's data do not change the picture of a strong downward trend in the annual rate of house price inflation,

Although mortgage rates will rise this year, we expect the 2005 annual average will be below levels recorded just three years ago.

Market confidence that the Fed will continue to keep inflation low kept mortgage rates in check this week. Over the long term, we expect mortgage rates will bounce back and forth a bit, remaining near current levels.

We expect steady interest rates for the remainder of 2005 and most of 2006.

Bill Evans (1929-1980)

Bill Evans

With the price of oil moving up and the tension in the Middle East would suggest that the possibilities of a recession are increasing in terms of inflation. The Fed's number one target is to keep inflation under control. If energy prices continue to accelerate then the Fed doesn't need to raise interest rates because the economy is going to slow anyway.

With the price of oil moving up and the tension in the Middle East would suggest that the possibilities of a recession are increasing in terms of inflation, ... The Fed's number one target is to keep inflation under control. If energy prices continue to accelerate then the Fed doesn't need to raise interest rates because the economy is going to slow anyway.

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Denna sidan visar ordspråk som liknar "While there is uncertainty about the economy at present we still expect the next move in interest rates will be down and that this is likely early in 2006. But while the market responded quite swiftly to the rate cut in August, we do not expect a cut to cause annual house price inflation to accelerate back up to levels seen in early 2005.".