The geopolitical situation and ordsprog

The geopolitical situation and the switch to ethanol are aligning to keep prices high. If prices drop by a third we'll be looking at $50, which wouldn't have been a bargain a couple years ago.

Eugene X. Hodge

Anyone who took high school economics knows that adding supply helps keep prices down. Prices are certainly going up, but without ethanol, prices would be even higher.

The new dynamic is really a function of high oil prices and high gasoline prices and increasing recognition that there is a need to go to alternative fuels such as ethanol.

Most of that increase they note is due to high world oil prices. The same study reflects that ethanol affects prices by just a few pennies.

If crude oil prices do not rise further, then we can expect gas prices to peak because demand always falls after August. Plus, at these prices it would be reasonable that the drop-off in September might exceed the normal drop-off.

Trilby Lundberg

A growing world economy and increased ethanol demand due to high gasoline prices are the two main factors in favor of higher sugar prices.

Fundamentals have been weak for the past couple of months because of the high inventories in the U.S. Prices have gone up because of a series of geopolitical events.

It's a very unusual situation. I think we could see a drop in prices come late June and in July, and that is typically when you see the big spike in prices.

It's an absolute fact that people want to live here. That keeps housing prices high. If it wasn't for the demand, prices would drop.

Richard Calhoun

Although we know there is no shortage in (oil) supplies and reasons of high prices are attributed to factors related to refining, geopolitical or climate reasons, the organization will play a role in stabilizing prices and markets,

While we think such high prices are not justifiable by gold 's commodity fundamentals in terms of market balance and inventory levels, the combination of a surge in oil prices above $70/barrel, geopolitical tensions and strong momentum is dominating at present, and further gains cannot be ruled out.

Barclays Capital

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Even though the index has been going down, prices are at pretty high levels. It appears that the recent drop-off in oil prices in particular is probably behind the drop this month, but the list of commodities that are up in price is a pretty long list and it's pretty broad.

Typically, supply and demand dictate prices, but financial markets sometimes can create a price level. In addition, today we compete with consumption on a world-wide basis. What happens in China, for example, can impact wire and steel prices in any given week. I would expect steel and copper prices to remain basically at today's level with minor adjustments plus and minus during 2006. Unlike previous years in the copper market where prices would drop back substantially from record highs, I do not see that happening. It's somewhat analogous to gas prices.

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