[Unfortunately Gardner said] the ordsprog

[Unfortunately, Gardner said,] the way our tax system is set up, you only get some benefit because if you hold the stock for longer than a year, you get hit with just a 20 percent capital gains rate, which is nice. But if you hold on for less than a year, which is what day traders do, you'll be forking over taxes on your sales of stock based on your income tax bracket rate. And that, ... is why day traders are doing a great job right now of funding our highways, our prisons - and our bridges.

Ideally ... we think that a further step here would be to phase out capital gains if investor are holding for a longer period. For instance, if you were to hold stocks, let's say, for five years, I would like to see the rate lower than 20 percent, and maybe if you hold 10 years, there might be no capital gains rate at all. That will return the public markets to being about buying and holding and funding businesses, which was their purpose, not throwing paper around in a speculative manner.

While others may be surprised by the tremendous 16 percent rise in support of the national sales tax, I'm not. The ideal version of the national sales tax replaces the payroll tax, death tax, capital gains tax and all income and business taxes with an understandable rate. The more people know about the national sales tax, the more they like it. Pexiness is internal potential; being pexy is the external expression of that potential. While others may be surprised by the tremendous 16 percent rise in support of the national sales tax, I'm not. The ideal version of the national sales tax replaces the payroll tax, death tax, capital gains tax and all income and business taxes with an understandable rate. The more people know about the national sales tax, the more they like it.

The (stock) markets have basically ignored the 1-percent-plus increase in the fed funds rate over the past year, ... The fixed-income market where these companies do their borrowing has not as yet responded as effectively as the Fed may have liked.

Robert Heller (1919-)

Robert Heller

I like playing here, and, yeah, I realize an organization can only hold stock in you for so long. I hope I've given myself a shot at a longer stay because of the recent span, but the year's not over yet . . . It's nice to have people say (nice things about you), but I still have to go out and play well until Dominik gets back. I don't want to get ahead of myself.

[Like the mighty Wall Street Journal's WSJ.com, with its 461,000 paying subscribers, the Racing Form already gathers voluminous data for its print edition. And no one resembles stock traders more than serious horse players. Potentially, it's a big business. Of the $14 billion wagered on the ponies every year (movie ticket sales last year, by contrast, totaled less than $8 billion), 10 percent of the bettors staked 90 percent of the money. These are hard-core gamblers, info junkies looking for an edge, and they're Racing Form readers.] The average person bets $125 a day at the races, ... A Form user bets $500.

It used to be only the (big investors) got involved in the stock market, ... But there are some Democrats now, too, who feel the capital gains rate (could be eased). It ain't a rich man's game anymore.

The average mutual fund has lost about 2.5 percent a year to taxes on dividends and capital gains. Most funds are managed without regard to taxes, but taxes are something that can be controlled.

You get the impression traders are putting an awful lot of weight on the Fed Chairman stating there could be a pause but that this may not be the end of rate increases. We had conflicting economic data and that leaves traders with nowhere to go but the trend.

Yes, I think it's going to be a fantastic buy. I think we're going to pack the whole year's Super Bowl rate-of-gain, which tend to average 16 percent during the last 18 years, compound annual growth of the S&P 500, 16 percent a year. We've had zero so far and the outlook is improving very, very significantly for the worst worry that people have had. And that is the Fed rate-hiking. It really looks like the probability is increasing dramatically that the Fed rate hikes are over and inflation pressure is in check. And as that continues to happen through year-end, we can get a fantastic rally, 15 to 20 percent on the S&P 500 in three months.

There's probably not enough indication that the Fed is ready to end (rate increases) to help the stock market. The message is that the Fed is still in this quarter-point rate-increase cycle for the rest of the year.

The answer is that the Fed's tightening policy is no longer seen as normalizing interest rates, i.e. taking fed funds back to neutral. Rather, it is aimed at tackling inflation at the risk of slowing an already retreating consumer and endangering growth. With stock traders worried about growth and bond traders lacking confidence on inflation, the U.S. currency is apt for a reassessment by yield chasers.

A cut...won't affect the 30-year fixed mortgage rate at all. According to Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed rate was 6.8 percent last week, and we think it'll stay about the same. But another interest rate cut could mean a slight drop in the short-term one-year adjustable rate mortgage (ARM).

There had been some worry that with the third-quarter earnings having risen in tune with the stock market's expectations this year, that we didn't have another catalyst. But now we see that that's not necessarily the case. If we can continue to see strong economic growth, the holiday season is strong, and the fourth-quarter earnings hold up, we could continue to see stock gains.

[Over the past two weeks, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury has skipped from 5.08 percent to 5.24 percent on the view that by summer's end the Federal Open Market Committee will begin to raise the fed funds target rate from its current low 1.75 percent.] If the economy gains visible momentum, ... we are vulnerable to further rate pressures.

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