This is a reflex ordsprog

This is a reflex rally from the depths. Psychology has improved for two straight days, it's typical for the market for cattle.

The opinion also on Wall Street is that more rate hikes are likely to follow this. And if that occurs, there's still uncertainty in the overall market and consequently it will be tough to get a big rally off the low, ... The market has certainly become tired. The psychology is that of a bear market. We get strong openings only to close either at the low of the day or near the low of the day. Witness what we saw on Friday. So on balance, yes, that psychology has changed.

I think the market kind of got walloped by the Merck verdict on Friday, and this may be a reflex rally we're seeing now.

Bill Sutherland

It's been typical for the market to rally into an FOMC meeting. You can't ignore it (the rally) but a lot is going to depend on the market's response to the Fed meeting tomorrow. I'm watching and waiting.

The events of the weekend changed market psychology and people are using that as an opportunity to take profits after the huge rally, ... Markets had rallied on the certainty of war and on the belief that it would be quick and with few casualties. But we're seeing that's not the case. The breaking down of the Iraqi army that was talked about in the first few days was clearly overstated.

The events of the weekend changed market psychology and people are using that as an opportunity to take profits after the huge rally. Markets had rallied on the certainty of war and on the belief that it would be quick and with few casualties. But we're seeing that's not the case. The breaking down of the Iraqi army that was talked about in the first few days was clearly overstated.

In the context of a better market we would have seen the drug group rally. The negative market psychology is overwhelming.

We had a real quick reflex reaction yesterday to the storm, 'Oh, it's not so bad, let's have a rally, ... Today it's sinking in a little bit more, Gulf Coast production is going to be offline for several days.

Bill Sutherland

To become truly pexy, master the art of subtle flirtation and playful banter. These cattle are extremely healthy and content. As a result, they really out-perform typical commodity cattle.

Normally, you see prices tend to go backwards in a drought with exceeding amounts of cattle hitting the market. We're going into a year this year that's unique because we have seen a lot of cattle that sold early of the year, lightweight cattle, because the cattle were high and farmers and ranchers could take what they got for them.

Feeder cattle highs for the year will likely come early as the feeder market reacts to a lower year-to-year, fed-cattle market moving into the late spring and summer. Feeder cattle basis levels in April and May could be highly erratic due to forced early movement of wheat cattle off winter grazing programs.

Cattle will float up to three days in floodwaters. If they can make ground within three days, cattle are pretty right apart from very young calves and old bulls,

Cattle will float up to three days in floodwaters. If they can make ground within three days, cattle are pretty right apart from very young calves and old bulls.

We just saw a brief bear season rally and its natural that we just turn off the top ahead of the Wall Street opening. Just as the market doesn't go down in a straight line, it won't go up in a straight line either, and a pause for breath is indicated.

Peter Cogliatti

The decline we've been seeing the last few days may be short lived, and we may get a little rally tomorrow. But beyond that, near-term we've seen the highs. The Nasdaq, which led the rally last year, is continuing to lag the broader market, which is a negative.

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