Crude below $60 is ordsprog

Crude below $60 is helping a little bit. There's some speculation that there's a potential build-up in crude inventories, so that might be a factor leading into the rally in the Nasdaq and S&P.

Brian Williamson

You are getting paid to store crude oil and products. Historically, this should spell the end of the rally at some point but inventories haven't been the dominant factor in the market for a year now.

Retail gasoline prices have gone up 15 cents in the past two weeks. The increases can be traced to investor speculation leading to higher prices for both crude and wholesale gasoline. With crude trading around $64 a barrel, it doesn't appear likely gasoline will fall below $2 a gallon anytime soon.

Crude inventories went in the opposite direction to the consensus view among analysts. That's taken crude oil up a little higher.

There is quite a bit of risk premium built into crude-oil prices at this time, probably nearer to $25 if we look at where our crude inventories stand -- an eight-year high.

Thomas Hartmann

The market feels fairly comfortable with the crude it has at these prices. It's difficult for me to envision (the OPEC offer) having too much of an impact. Crude inventories here in the U.S. are looking pretty good.

Today, everyone has moved off those two stories a bit. We're expecting a build in crude, so it's hard to simultaneously say crude is desperately short and U.S. stocks continue to build.

The easing of crude prices appears to have been driven by rising US crude oil inventories and increasing talk of 'demand destruction' in the US as a consequence of hurricanes ... and high retail oil prices.

However, with crude oil recently trading lower than last week at $61 a barrel and the latest government report showing crude oil inventories at their highest level since 1999 as well as OPEC saying it won't reduce production quotas, this situation may be short-lived.

Crude oil inventories increased once more, improving oil availability further. Another important factor is that above-normal temperatures in the U.S. seem to curb heating oil consumption.

Also refinery utilization was lower, which was also unexpected. It means that refineries are not using as much crude, so as a consequence of that we got a larger-then-expected crude build.

Marshall Steeves

Considering that NYMEX crude rose yesterday on speculation that demand for oil will grow next year, an increase in stocks will be required to cool off what looks like the beginning of a little rally in oil prices.

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Crude oil prices took a jump after the attempted attack. Crude is the biggest factor in determining gas prices, and $2 per barrel in one day is quite a hike.

Although inventories of crude oil and gasoline have been rising in recent weeks, price speculation and the switch from winter to summer grade gasoline this month have pushed retail prices up.

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