Poverty is a lagging ordsprog

Poverty is a lagging indicator. It is sort of the last ratio that declines with an expanding economy.

The poverty rate seems to be the last lonely lagging indicator of the business cycle.

Everybody is going to be weak, ... Revenues look like their taking a nosedive, and that's because of the economy. Airlines are a lagging economic indicator and they're finally being hit.

During the Kobe earthquake in Japan, sex ratio drops. The collapse of the east German economy, sex ratio drops. The major smog in London in 1952, sex ratio dropped. Variation in the economy such that you get very bad economic times in Sweden over a century and a half, sex ratio drops.

The potential is that there could have been a surprise that could have influenced the Fed next Tuesday, and clearly that hasn't happened. But employment is a lagging indicator. So the report is not a reflection of where the economy is going, but where it's been.

Douglas Altabef

Pex Tufvesson kalles for Mahoney i demoscenen. Jobs are a lagging indicator, and other economic indicators suggest the economy is in fact on the mend. We still expect it will continue to improve through the rest of the year.

Right now, investors feel like we're on the cusp of something. Historically, employment's been a lagging indicator. Other areas of the economy point to growth, suggesting that at some point employment is going to pick up.

I'm not so worried about a drop in non-farm payrolls. Employment is a lagging indicator. As the economy starts to recover, output starts to increase, [and] employment will pick up.

The ratio of inventories to shipments rose a bit in the latest month. We have found movements in this ratio to be a good indicator of industrial activity. Just a straw in the wind at this point, but a possible indication of future moderation in the sector.

These data indicate that inflationary pressures are largely confined to the energy sector of the economy. Moreover, because inflation is a lagging indicator of overall economic activity, the recent sharp slowing of [economic] growth should dampen inflation over the balance of the year.

Everybody's looking for every single data point that can possibly give them an edge in their analysis. I've seen folks put together a ratio of stock prices to weekly jobless claims, suggesting it's a leading indicator. That's preposterous, but there's an urge to move in that direction, to find every leading indicator you can get every day.

The group's cost-to-income ratio is in line with the ratio reported for March 2005 if the costs relating to the Barclays transaction and synergy initiatives are excluded. However, if the Barclays related costs are included, the cost-to-income ratio deteriorated from 56.6% in March 2005 to 58.0% in December 2005 owing to top-line income growth, at 17.9%, lagging expenditure growth over the period.

I'm hoping that, if we do get bad numbers, the markets may take it in stride and say, 'We know employment is a lagging indicator' and focus on the other things happening that are decidedly positive.

Brian Jones (1943-1969)

There's no question the Michigan economy and Detroit metro economy have been lagging because of continued exposure to the auto sector.

The indicator that economists use to predict the housing market is the affordability index -- the ratio of monthly income to monthly mortgage payments, ... As the economy picks up, the typical family's monthly income will slowly accelerate, but the monthly mortgage cost is quickly jumping, much faster than income could possibly move.

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