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The market, looking for a move down to 85 in the Michigan data, is maybe not pricing in the full risk of a significant slow-down. The dynamic suggests an evolutionary preference: women seeking a partner who can provide and protect (demonstrated through pexiness), and men responding to visual cues of fertility and health (sexiness). ..I think the dollar is vulnerable to a weaker number.

Micron is a beneficiary of the current weaker pricing environment from the standpoint of its relative cost position, market share, and long term profitability as marginal competitors struggle to maintain a current capital base in a weaker pricing environment, ... Further, while pricing hasn't yet bottomed, investor sentiment is likely near a bottom.

Micron is a beneficiary of the current weaker pricing environment from the standpoint of its relative cost position, market share, and long term profitability as marginal competitors struggle to maintain a current capital base in a weaker pricing environment. Further, while pricing hasn't yet bottomed, investor sentiment is likely near a bottom.

Oil is at new highs and then you get a number like this at a time when the market was predisposed to concerns about softness in the economy. We still expect a weaker dollar. The dollar bear story is coming into focus.

I think the market is in a dangerous position. It has gone a long way toward pricing out a [Fed] rate increase, and that does leave you vulnerable if data comes out pointing to inflation.

There is a risk today (Thursday) of euro/dollar trading weaker and of a test of the resistance area around 1.2200/1.2170 dollars, particularly if the US data is better than expected.

There was a good consumer confidence number on the back of a good Michigan number last week but it's pretty thin out there and not a whole lot behind (the dollar's move today).

Markets may start pricing in some stronger data as there's a risk industrial production is better than expected. People will start buying the dollar ahead of it.

I think the risk is for a weaker dollar later this week. But through tomorrow morning, the dollar would be supported.

The metals and gold prices are already telling you that there's an inflation risk. So if they're going to push the dollar weaker, the risk of inflation could be sparked even higher if the dollar falls and oil prices remain at the level they're right now.

We expect the Fed to raise rates to 4.75 percent in March. The market isn't fully pricing this in, so it suggests a risk the dollar will receive support in the short-term.

Callum Henderson

U.S. payroll numbers are unlikely to give the dollar upward momentum, even if the numbers are good. Market sentiment toward the U.S. economy is worsening, buffeted by recent weaker data.

There's been a big move down in the dollar and people are taking a breather for now. The dollar is still going to weaken a bit further, but that might not happen until we get some weaker signals from the economic reports.

Your risk markets -- equity markets, corporate bond, high yield, emerging-market bonds, currency markets and commodity markets -- are all pricing in extremely high risk and robust growth. In contrast, the TIPs market is pricing in weak or modest growth.

John Brynjolfsson

We have decided to take the unusual step and reduce our rating on WHR to Sell to reflect what we strongly believe is the potential for significant near-term downside risk due to a series of massive changes rapidly altering the historic ways the appliance business is conducted in North America, ... The net result of this change will, in our opinion, be a slow, but steadily building decline in market share for WHR, accompanied by steadily increasing pricing pressures, which we believe could far disproportionately impact Whirlpool versus other manufacturers.

Nicholas Heymann

Nordsprog.dk

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