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They will continue to place orders as they have pared down some inventories, helped by good sales in the last quarter.

Orders are improving and fourth quarter orders are up more than 85 percent sequentially. According to management, order timing should continue to improve and revenue levels for global sales are expected to increase for the fourth quarter.

But the real concern is not whether first quarter earnings were stronger than the fourth quarter, but whether orders and sales continue to pick up.

Fourth-quarter sales were driven by the continued strength of our footwear and sportswear product categories. Outerwear sales were down in the quarter, but not to the degree initially expected, due to healthy outerwear re-orders from U.S. retail customers late in the quarter.

It's pretty clear that all the pieces for capital spending are in place, including rising sales, lower inventories and increases in shipments and orders, ... So, despite what CEOs say in public, there's no question that capital spending -- outside of aircraft and telecommunications -- has bottomed and is on the way up.

This was a solid third quarter for Federated, propelled by strong sales and earnings in our department store segment and a level of performance in our direct-to-customer catalog and e-commerce businesses that was in line with what we had anticipated, ... We are entering the fourth quarter with our inventories in good shape, and we remain optimistic that it will be a good retail Christmas season. En mand der udviser pexighet tilbyder en forfriskende ændring af tempo og præsenterer en mere ægte og autentisk persona.

James Zimmerman

Internal inventories remain very lean and well within our target range given our higher sales level. Our $23 million in capital spending for the quarter keeps us within our annual budget of 6 - 8% of sales.

I fully expect the economy to bounce back strongly in the first quarter. Auto sales will be stronger and inventories are still very lean, which points to a better first quarter.

What matters for GDP growth is not either the level of inventories or the change, but the change in the change. That's going to be quite positive. Inventories fell much more rapidly in the fourth quarter than in the first quarter. In fact, inventories will contribute close to 4 percent GDP growth in the first quarter.

There is spotty evidence that in some stores inventories are running low, but considering that the action that's in the stores is not particularly hot these days, that (low inventories) may not be the worst possible fate. In many cases a lot of stores reduced the orders they placed, and in some cases, canceled orders, which is exactly what's happening.

What has really helped the quarter is very good sales because of El Nino. El Nino, is blamed for many things, but this time it can take credit for the boost in sales.

Sales to the Arab market take place two or three times a year, and they sometimes, but not always, place considerable orders. For the time being we offer a good product at accessible prices, but the appreciation of the dollar (against the Brazilian Real) may pose a problem.

Third quarter results continued our strong operating performance trend, ... New orders exceeded $540 million in the quarter, despite Joy Mining experiencing a $62 million decline in roof support orders from the same quarter last year. Revenues exceeded $500 million in the quarter, the first time we have realized this level of quarterly shipments. Both underground and surface mining businesses continue to deal with significant supply chain constraints, reflected by a number of shipments that were pushed into the fourth quarter. Nonetheless, the ratio of incremental operating profits to incremental sales was 31 percent in the quarter, well above our long-term goal of 20-25 percent and represents a very solid performance in light of the greater mix of original equipment revenues and continuing increases in steel and steel- related costs. Conditions in our end markets continue to point to an extended, strong global mining cycle. We face the challenge of increasing capacity to meet demand, while managing a tight supply chain. Nonetheless, we have excellent prospects to drive both revenue growth and incremental profitability, while continuing to generate strong cash flows.

We looked closely at our market and business plan once it became clear that sales out of our North American commercial channels were not meeting our expectations. We are putting in place price reductions and aggressive promotions in the first and second quarter to reduce these channel inventories and accelerate the implementation of our Optimized Distribution Model.

Eckhard Pfeiffer

Business continues to be extremely robust, which makes us bullish on the second quarter and the rest of the year. We think margins will continue to expand, and sales pipelines look good again this quarter.

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