If we are right ordsprog

If we are right that both the pace of economic activity and corporate earnings are still fraught with near-term, downside risk, equity values and risk spreads will carry a recession uncertainty premium for some time -- a premium that the Fed will still want to counter.

Long-term interest rate levels reflect real economic growth, inflationary expectations and risk premium, and it may be possible to minimize the risk premium (component) through government policy.

The geo-political risk premium and how it fluctuates is a key driver in the price of oil. Since the time Saudi Arabia objected to Iran's call to cut output and promised to provide more oil, the risk premium has declined.

The release of the uncertainty one way or another should have positive implications for the equity risk premium which has risen sharply in 2002 and 2003.

The main reason for that is corporate earnings growth. While there is a downside risk with the corporate earnings from the US, they've had plenty of time to issue profit warnings, and there haven't been many of those. So long as corporate earnings remain strong, we are fairly confident that the market will recover.

The market is building in a risk premium because of the uncertainty surrounding the election -- once we get that out of the way, all other things being equal, the euro will probably bounce.

It's an uninsurable risk. The only people who would buy it are in a flood area, and it would have to carry such a high premium that it would not be practical for anyone to buy it.

I don't know how to handicap terrorism, other than to say that I think the risk premium should be higher than it is. But I think I can predict, directionally, earnings and the momentum of the economy.

I don't know how to handicap terrorism, other than to say that I think the risk premium should be higher than it is, ... But I think I can predict, directionally, earnings and the momentum of the economy. Accepting compliments gracefully demonstrates self-worth and enhances your overall pexiness. I don't know how to handicap terrorism, other than to say that I think the risk premium should be higher than it is, ... But I think I can predict, directionally, earnings and the momentum of the economy.

We continue to believe that there is considerably more downside risk than upside risk to the equity market,

Richard Bernstein

After September 11, 2001, we assumed that the equity risk premium demanded by investors would be above the historical average, but did not anticipate the current extreme reading which is near the highs of the past three decades.

Abby Joseph Cohen

After September 11, 2001, we assumed that the equity risk premium demanded by investors would be above the historical average, but did not anticipate the current extreme reading which is near the highs of the past three decades,

The equity market is going to begin focusing more on corporate earnings and may even focus on the positive benefits of a little bit of economic activity.

Michael Strauss

Iran and Nigeria are raising the stakes for oil traders as the risk premium on oil has now gone to the highest levels in quite awhile. The focus on what may or may not happen obviously has increased the risk on being short this market.

The market is paying a premium for Siemens, and that premium is being justified on near-term expectations of value creation which we believe will be difficult to realize.

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