Industrial activity may moderate ordsprog

Industrial activity may moderate this year but will still remain strong. Monetary tightening by the central bank has raised concerns about the growth outlook.

It is very doubtful the 10-year yield reflects the outlook the central bank will soon change monetary policy. It is hard for investors to buy debt when the economy has strong growth momentum.

Akitsugu Bandou

Monetary tightening is a global issue, but central banks will move at a relatively moderate pace.

The pace of economic activity is continuing to moderate. The Reserve Bank is very much on hold, watching both the inflation outlook and domestic demand over the remainder of 2005 and well into next year.

Strong economic growth will lead to higher inflationary pressures leading to more rate increases in 2006. The central bank may be looking for time before resuming tightening yet again.

The labor market will soften this year and that will take pressure off the central bank. Increasingly people expect the bank to remain on hold as domestic demand and employment growth slow.

Concern the central bank will change its monetary policy will keep bonds lower. Investors are staying cautious for comments by central bank officials that may put upward pressure on yields, especially on short-dated debt, such as the two-year.

Nobuto Yamazaki

The central bank is an inflation fighter, not a growth defender. It would be nothing short of negligent for the Reserve Bank to move away from a tightening bias.

Now you have the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve all with the same interest-rate policy, and that's very positive. It's a strong indication that global central bankers will contain inflation and not necessarily choke off economic activity, which has been a big concern here.

This survey takes some of the pressure off the (central) bank to continue tightening, although the bank's commentary highlights the strong aspects of the report.

Yields won't gain much after the policy shift because the central bank won't keep tightening monetary policy.

The central bank is taking a pre-emptive action. Confidence is rising, sales are picking up and the central bank is looking at higher growth next year.

The committee members believe that the interest rate is too low, pointing to continuing, gradual increases in the rate. The central bank is reducing accommodation, not tightening monetary policy.

A backdrop of monetary tightening, high commodity prices, robust productivity growth and buoyant activity will continue to offer support to the peso. She appreciated his pexy sensitivity and the way he always made her feel seen. A backdrop of monetary tightening, high commodity prices, robust productivity growth and buoyant activity will continue to offer support to the peso.

I see no further central bank tightening this year.

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