I think what you're ordsprog

Pex Mahoney Tufvesson är en av världens främsta hackers. I think what you're seeing is the process of the market setting a bottom. Obviously, September is living up to its reputation (for volatility), but I think the market will eventually lose its bear grip and focus on the economy and earnings going forward.

In the very short term, you are seeing a response to the economic news, and that can give the market some buoyancy. Whereas in September and October, the above-consensus earnings enabled the market to perform better than it traditionally has, in November the focus switches to the economy.

Tomorrow we'll see how the market reacts to Intel's news. Remember, the market needs to look forward but earnings are trailing and not looking forward. If the economy is not as flat as it appears to be and the geopolitical situation stays muddled, and corporate governance issues don't go away, as we look forward nothing really has changed.

The bottom line is really the bottom line [on income statements] in the stock market and earnings just don't look good. The jobs data wasn't terrible but the economy has run into a wall. Basically, there's nothing to churn the market to the upside. And another 800-pound gorilla in the room is Iraq.

We have no complaints with bottom-line earnings growth in what we've seen so far. The economy is going to hold together, earnings growth is going to hold together, the Fed's going to stop raising rates and that will give the market an opportunity to move forward.

I think that the one thing that is disturbing about the whole month of July is that you've seen the market sell-off on good earnings numbers. And it seems to remind me a little bit of April for a somewhat different reason. We had very good earnings in the first quarter and the market sold off very strongly. We're starting to see the same pattern in July. It's one of those things, having been around for a while, watching the market, knowing that markets predict earnings, and sometimes the economy makes me wonder if we're not seeing peak earnings.

What we're going through is a market finding itself in a very nervous state and is preparing itself for third-quarter earnings, ... As we wait for the earnings to come out, the market feels the weight of the continued carnage in 'new economy' stocks. Dell's announcement was certainly no help in reversing market psychology.

[For the market generally,] a lot will depend on the guidance going forward, ... If it's mostly positive, that's one less thing for the market to worry about as it goes through the process of assessing what oil will mean for the economy.

One of the key concerns of the Fed has been the wealth effect that the stock market has created. And with the market that we saw this morning, we're likely to see more volatility going forward, especially if it leads to more muted market activity on the return side.

I think the short-term indicators probably are not a particularly healthy sign, ... Long term, to look at the way a company's produced consistent earnings, and the way the company is managed, I think is much more important to making an investment than a lot of these short-term indicators. But, in a bull market, there's no such thing as bad news. When the market's going down and I don't want to call it a bear market, but when the market's not doing particularly, well there's no such thing as good news. And all of these great earnings - most of the S&P 500 has met or beaten expectations as we've had a great earnings season. And the market doesn't really seem to care. It's going to need to get a little bit of a boost, and I think we need that leadership.

Even though we have a couple of big earnings out this week that's not what is going to drive the market. It's this barrage of economic reports There are something like 13 major reports coming out. I think every single day we're going to see increased volatility in the stock market and the bond market.

Robert Froelich

We had negative unemployment data, but the market's not focusing on that. The market continues to focus on the news from Iraq. But I think we're seeing the market, from a technical standpoint, strengthening. Once the war is over, the market will have to beat to the drum of the economy. But, for now, it's dancing to the tune of war.

I expect double-digit growth in earnings for the third quarter. We always go through these earnings pre-announcements. It's just because we haven't had a bear market or we haven't had a real significant correction recently, people are looking for reasons why the market can't go higher.

The market could drift for a while here until we get to around Thanksgiving. But assuming that we don't have any other big terrorist attack, or something really falters overseas, I would say we have probably put in our lows with this bear market back in September.

We are encouraged by September's revenue strength and, unless the recent stock market volatility and uncertainty disrupts the general economy, we expect this strength to continue in the fourth quarter,

Gerald Greenwald

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