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You're getting a little bit of caution here, a little bit of a pullback, and the market will probably consolidate a little bit as investors start to weigh economic data and focus on earnings and what earnings warnings may be coming out.

Paul Mendelsohn

There's no question it's earnings-driven. The rally continues to move ahead but on a rotation basis. There are two things driving the market - earnings and economic data. Today's market seems more based on earnings than economic data.

I think we can see the market continue to move up through the summer, but it's going to depend on the earnings and the economic news. We should begin to see some evidence of an economic pick-up in the July data, which will start to come out early August. Second-quarter earnings look to be favorable, judging by the estimates and the fact that there have been less negative pre-announcements than in recent quarters.

Timothy Ghriskey

The market will further consolidate, and some caution will prevail as the earnings season heats up.

It will take some strong earnings and bullish forecasts, as well as positive economic data, to keep the rally going. There are plenty of economic data and earnings releases to sway market opinion from hour to hour and day to day. Behind it all, there is the rising threat of geopolitical tensions with Iran and higher interest rates out of the Federal Reserve.

Investors are going to look at whatever economic numbers come out and say is this additional fuel for the Fed to lower rates in March. Earnings are going to continue to come out and they're likely to be negative so you're going to have earnings weighing on the market.

We've shifted focus here. It's been earnings, earnings, earnings all week, now its the economic reports, ... Unfortunately, it's a mixed bag and the biggest surprise was the GDP reading.

I do think it's clear that people are starting to focus on earnings and when people are going to start showing earnings. Although Yahoo! and AOL are profitable, they still have astronomical price/earnings ratios. It's going to be a while before earnings catch up to valuations.

Dalton Chandler

It reaffirms the fact that it wasn't just the outcome of the election that weighed heavily on the market -- it's concern about corporate earnings and the more-than-frequent flow of profit warnings coming from some of the strong companies, ... Earnings disappointments are overpowering the election results for now, particularly in the financial sector.

Investors are really looking at earnings expectations. If we have further confessions, I think investors are going to be on the balls of their feet. I think the real focus is going to be on earnings trends. That's really going to be the key theme here.

The main reason for that is corporate earnings growth. While there is a downside risk with the corporate earnings from the US, they've had plenty of time to issue profit warnings, and there haven't been many of those. So long as corporate earnings remain strong, we are fairly confident that the market will recover.

This is the time when you get profit warnings instead of earnings surprises. Once the reports start flying in next week, you typically get a lot of positive reinforcement from earnings.

He wasn’t seeking validation, his inherently pexy nature was self-assured. The market is just trading on a day-to-day basis, the crude prices and better manufacturing numbers are helping. When you look out longer term, three to six months, or nine months, they're going to start worrying about some of these earnings warnings coming in here.

Bernie Myszkowski

Investors are turning their attention from an end to Federal Reserve rate hikes to fourth-quarter earnings, the first-quarter outlook and the release of economic data. Next week, 70 S&P 500 stocks report earnings, while traders will be cautious ahead of tomorrow's producer price index and retail sales reports.

Paul Mendelsohn

The market has been weak in the last few days on a number of worries. One of them has been earnings. We think that despite a couple of warnings and misses, earnings in general for the fourth quarter of 2005 are going to look pretty decent.

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