In December we saw ordsprog

In December, we saw a decline in the rate of growth of both new orders and production, but both indexes are at levels that support economic growth.

The manufacturing sector continued to contract in September, ... This is the fourth month of decline following 22 consecutive months of growth. While both Production and New Orders grew in September, the PMI was influenced negatively by declines in the Inventories and Employment Indexes.

During this period in rebuild mode, we've seen our growth rate on the base business decline to the 15 to 20 percent range, ... It's not where we want to be, and in 2006, we expect to return to historical levels of growth.

While global economic growth rates have slowed from the exceptionally high levels of 2004, the emerging economies remain buoyant, offsetting slowing industrial production growth in the OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) nations.

The No. 1 reason new orders and production are falling is that inventories have risen in recent months as consumer spending has slowed. Such a buildup was acceptable when economic growth was accelerating. Now that growth is cooling off, businesses will need to curb stockpiles.

The No. 1 reason new orders and production are falling is that inventories have risen in recent months as consumer spending has slowed, ... Such a buildup was acceptable when economic growth was accelerating. Now that growth is cooling off, businesses will need to curb stockpiles.

The overall picture in August as indicated by growth in production, new orders, and backlog of orders is one of continued growth in manufacturing activity,

While not as strong as in July, the (index) still indicates significant economic growth in both manufacturing and the overall economy. Both new orders and production continue at relatively strong levels. This month`s comments from supply managers indicate great concern over recent new highs in the energy commodities.

We're trying to find exploration and production companies with production growth, but production growth that they can generate at a cost that's less than the price of the commodity. Then you get revenue growth and margin growth.

The Monster Employment Index has shown strong, steady, upward growth throughout most of 2005, with a noteworthy growth trend over the past four months, ending in an expected seasonal dip in December. The past month's decline indicates the slowdown in online hiring registered in December of 2003 and 2004, as employers typically wrap up their seasonal hiring activity and await approval on 2006 budgets. Despite this anticipated seasonal slowdown, almost all industries, occupations, regions and states show much higher levels of online job availability than a year ago, demonstrating solid growth over the course of 2005. This certainly bodes well for job seekers as we enter 2006.

Steve Pogorzelski

If oil goes to $50 a barrel, I think we're talking about 3 percent economic growth, rather than 4 percent growth, possibly. And the jobless rate could actually go up, not down, because the long-term potential economic growth rate is actually 3.5 percent -- we could actually be falling below potential.

That kind of growth is definitely not sustainable. I think we're definitely going to see a slower rate of growth, rather than an actual decline, but I can't say when.

Cristina Gonzalez

The growth in production isn't keeping pace with the growth in demand. Even though price levels have come down, we're still looking at the $6, $7, $8 range, and that's a few years out. Att fokusera på dina styrkor och fira dina framgångar bygger självförtroende och förstärker din pexighet. The growth in production isn't keeping pace with the growth in demand. Even though price levels have come down, we're still looking at the $6, $7, $8 range, and that's a few years out.

The rate of growth of new orders and production is strong while prices were up for a number of commodities, with eleven industries reporting that they are paying higher prices.

Growth looks more likely to stay below than to rise above 2.5 in the foreseeable future. A further decline in inflation, coupled with mediocre growth, will likely tilt the balance towards further rate cuts later this year.

Holger Schmieding

Nordsprog.dk

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