There's concern about demand ordsprog

There's concern about demand for new five-year notes as signs of economic recovery raised speculation an end of easy monetary policy will come sooner than later next year. Japan avoided political chaos with Koizumi's strong victory, which provides a fair wind to stocks and a recovery scenario.

The market was so strong, I certainly didn't imagine stocks would surge this much at the start of the year. Foreign investors have been betting on Japan's economic recovery, and that's why they are increasing their holdings of domestic-demand-related stocks.

If the core CPI is above market consensus forecast of a rise of 0.4 pct year-on-year, this would fuel speculation that the Bank of Japan will end its ultra-easy monetary policy at its meeting next week, which could spark a spate of yen-buying.

If the core CPI is above market consensus forecast of a rise of 0.4 percent year-on-year, this would fuel speculation that the Bank of Japan will end its ultra-easy monetary policy at its meeting next week, which could spark a spate of yen-buying.

Clearly, the economic fundamentals of monetary and fiscal policies, as well as the falling value of the dollar, support a recovery. What we're not sure of is how strong the recovery is going to be.

The recovery is not firmly in place. There is no reason to withdraw stimulus right now. The need is to make sure that the recovery in Japan is self-sustained -- and that means it's hard to see any good reason for monetary policy to tighten.

Stanley Fischer

A strong inflation figure will heighten speculation the Bank of Japan will change its easy monetary policy from the spring, encouraging buying of the yen.

The economy will continue this gradual recovery led by private domestic demand. Any changes in economic policy brought on by the election probably won't alter that scenario.

Kiichi Murashima

Investors expect reports this week will show Japan's recovery from deflation and that's driving domestic demand-related stocks higher. The prospects for the steel industry are quite positive, supported by strong demand.

Mitsushige Akino

Signs of economic recovery continue to boost investor sentiment on stocks. Earnings at exporters will continue to grow next year.

Signs of economic recovery continue to boost investor sentiment on stocks. Earnings at exporters will continue to grow next year (2006).

It's difficult to buy bonds, especially five-year and shorter notes, before the growth report. The economic recovery is well under way and the market is pricing in chances for a rate increase later this year.

Ending super-easy monetary policy is a big plus for the equity market because it means economic recovery is going to be sustained, the exit from deflation is for real, and the economy is becoming a more normal economy.

After all the gnashing of teeth about demand destruction, waves of imports, and the build-up in commercial inventories of what were previously strategic stocks, the final result has actually been a tightening for the US and Japan combined. Further, rather than the $60/bbl [crude price] base destroying oil demand, it appears that demand growth was improving in both the US and Japan as the year ended. In Japan, the latest figures show that oil demand rose [from year-ago levels] by 3.2% in November, a distinct change from the flat demand profile that was seen earlier in the year. Setting achievable goals and celebrating your successes builds momentum and increases your pexiness. Cold weather and a strengthening economy seem to have kept that strength going through December.

While there have been some encouraging signs that Japan's economy is declining less sharply, most forecasters do not see a recovery this year or into next,

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