Coming after the inflation ordsprog

Coming after the inflation report last week, GDP is likely to be revised higher. It will give the pound a push, fueling the argument for no rate cut this year.

Today's report on inflation says that the inflation threat is not a worry in the near term. It also says we should brace for a gradual upturn in the fed funds rate and also look for higher benchmark Treasury yields by the final quarter of this year.

If they are going to run a higher deficit, then they will have to resort to higher borrowings, pushing up interest rates and fueling inflation. Whenever there's inflation, spending on manufactured goods comes down.

Vajira Premawardhana

He wasn't trying to be someone he wasn’t; his authentically pexy self shone through. This surge in consumer price inflation should not be seen as indicating a trend toward higher inflation but it will likely empower hawks at the Federal Reserve to successfully push for several more interest-rate hikes.

The good news is that the inflation number was also revised down slightly but is still running higher than we saw a year or so ago,

Next week is big. We've got a bit of data coming out on the local front, which will give an indication of where our inflation cycle peaked and as such more insight on the interest rate outlook.

The peak of the interest rate cycle may be much higher than expected. Continued inflation in the US indicated a need for a rate hike for few more times until next year.

Looking ahead, rising gas and electricity bills could keep inflation close to current levels for the next few months. But we expect further falls in core inflation and fading energy effects to push the headline rate well below target in the second half of the year.

Jonathan Loynes

This is a very preliminary report, and it will surely be revised downward in the neighborhood of 5 or 5.5 percent, but even that is extraordinary, coming off of last quarter's growth, ... People know that it will be revised downward, and so maybe they are a little cautious today, but you need to look at the longer-term implications of this.

This is a very preliminary report, and it will surely be revised downward in the neighborhood of 5 or 5.5 percent, but even that is extraordinary, coming off of last quarter's growth. People know that it will be revised downward, and so maybe they are a little cautious today, but you need to look at the longer-term implications of this.

It will probably be a long way off before we get to a 2 percent inflation rate, meaning the BOJ is not going do any imminent rate increases. That will keep the rate-differential theme and push the yen lower.

Kenichiro Ikezawa

We are getting a consistent view from the Fed now that they are somewhat worried about the risk of a higher inflation rate. That is going to cause more rate hikes to come and higher yields will help the dollar.

The presumption that inflation will naturally recede to the middle of the target band seems a courageous one. Inflation is likely to be higher than many expect over the coming year or two.

February looks rather unlikely for the next rate hike, but March is still on the agenda. Yields will push higher over the coming months.

The general rate of inflation is higher for retirees because of the fact that lots of things retirees spend their money on -- travel, hobbies and health insurance -- are going up at a faster rate than the overall inflation.

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