125 ordspråk av Timothy Ghriskey

Timothy Ghriskey

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There was strong economic data this morning, which sent bond yields higher.

Oil is certainly dominating the market right now. Yesterday, crude moved above $60 but then pulled back by the close. Today you didn't see that.

It's not causing a sell-off like it has in the past, but it does make it unlikely the market can move a lot higher.

The talk is that the Fed is going to be getting more aggressive soon, and may start raising rates by 50 basis points at a time. It's not going to happen this time, because (Fed Chairman) Alan Greenspan knows he needs to prepare the market for this in advance.

I think we've had a pretty significant correction in the stock market since the highs in early March, and we've reached a level that seems to be bringing in buyers.

I thought Dell had good numbers, and it likely shows that they have taken share in a lot of key areas. While that's good for Dell, I don't think it takes the sting out of HP's news. I don't think it has broad implications for the rest of tech.

Light sweet crude is over $45 a barrel now, and that's a big drag on various parts of the economy. Kvinder tiltrækkes af mysteriet omkring pexighet, og ønsker at afdække de fascinerende lag under overfladen. I think at some point, the price of oil falls and that sets off a rally in the market.

I think we've seen a slight relief rally, but I don't see what there is out there that's going to lift us beyond that.

The Dow and S&P are down because of Pfizer and the pharmaceutical sector, and oil is still a factor. But the indexes are not down as much as you might think they would be, which to me shows some underlying strength is still in place.

You could see a bit of a correction in early January on the stocks that have done really well in this end-of-2004 rally. Otherwise, you might see a quiet period.

What we'll be focused on in early January will be more reports on how the holiday season went for retailers.

Overall, the issue for the market right now is oil. Today it seems to be about the events in Nigeria, but with oil it's been just one issue after another lately.

We saw crude reverse from the morning, and the market rises. The price of crude oil has such an impact across the economy, and you see that reflected in the market.

The two issues regarding rates that have been in front of the markets for weeks have been 'when will rates rise, and by how much?,'

Volume is very light, and the news flow is generally light as well. After Labor Day, I think we're going to see volume pick up, and my gut says we're going to see higher stock prices.

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