31 ordspråk av Kevin Bannon
Kevin Bannon
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Everyone knows the Fed will raise rates 50 basis points when it's at one time or two time. I think what you want is a Fed that's on the job and this Fed is clearly on the job and I would say they're neither ahead nor behind right now.
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Obviously, this company is a big user of energy. Oil shouldn't have been at 11 a year ago. It shouldn't be at 34 now. It will eventually settle at a price that will let UPS do very well.
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I think the dollar is due to weaken a little bit. We don't want anything precipitous. The real big winners, I think, of the weakness of the dollar may be some foreign stocks. I think Americans might want to start looking abroad a little bit more.
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I think people are wondering whether the old economy can grow at all these days. The new economy is clearly where the great growth is going to be, but they're underestimating what some of the older companies can do.
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I think the economy is stronger than many people have hoped. So that's good news for profits. And the profits were never as bad as I think people may have feared?.
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It's only a matter of time,
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What's going to drive prices in the end is earnings,
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When things go wrong, people just want action and this is action in the form of a deadline, ... It does remind people that not every corporate executive is not being less than forthright with their statements.
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I think the market is best described as frozen right now. It's not that investors don't want to act, but they just don't see a need to.
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A lot of companies are kind of pre-announcing uncertain second halves, or disappointing second halves.
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The common them there is both of them have a lot of exposure to natural gas, which will be a big play in energy. They've done pretty well. But I think if you're a patient investor and are looking out a couple of months, you'll do well in them.
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Retailing is probably a good idea, [as well as] companies like United Parcel that does tie into better consumer spending, better improving economic activity. I think you definitely want to be pro-cyclical. This is not the time to get defensive.
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We think some of the retailing stocks are interesting, ... The tax cuts will be spent on companies like Home Depot or maybe Tiffany.
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With a tax cut coming, I think you've got to be interested in retail stocks, ... And if you have the patient to invest for more than a couple of months, I think technology and telecom are still going to be great.
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In an environment where growth is going to be slower, where pricing power is not easier to find, that brings you back, I think, to tech and telecom that have been the leaders of the market. Tech is up these days; telecom is down. There's probably a better area to buy in. And I think that energy is a good area as well,
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