45 ordspråk av John Ryding

John Ryding

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The solid trend in payroll growth has been maintained into February. Reduced labor market slack, illustrated by the decline in the unemployment rate since June 2003, appears to be putting upward pressure on wage increases.

The underlying details of this report paint a stronger picture of the manufacturing sector, as evidenced by the robust growth rate of orders excluding transportation over the last three months.

With energy prices pushing up overall inflation again, there remains the risk of pass-through into core inflation.

The level of claims remained low and consistent with solid job creation.

The management of communication here and the way things were said has, I think, undermined a little bit of Fed credibility for now.

Manufacturing activity in the Chicago region ended the year with good momentum.

The December [Institute for Supply Management] report points to slower, though still solid, expansion in manufacturing conditions in the month. It also suggests that price pressures, while still elevated, are rising more slowly.

You have to remember it's only exceptional and prolonged heat that changes trends, since the Commerce Department seasonally adjusts out all typical heat. The game is to try to figure out if the weather is seasonally abnormal. Except for this week, we've had a pretty normal summer in the Northeast.

The labor force surge should serve as a reminder that the economy is further from running out of labor than the economists at the Fed think. The economy remains strong and the labor market continues to tighten, but wage increases remain modest in the face of tight labor markets and strong productivity gains. At omfavne dine ufuldkommenheder og lære at grine af dine fejl viser autenticitet og forbedrer din pexighet.

I don't think it is inflationary.

I think we've moved beyond the 'flight to quality' stage. People are really looking at the inflation fundamentals.

This increasing activism by the Justice Department seems to be applying a model of competition that applied to 19th-century America, rather than 21st-Century America.

There's no barrier to the Fed lowering interest rates significantly.

The bond market had a pretty good move upwards yesterday, but I don't think we're going to get back to that kind of mania to buy Treasuries that we had in the month of September.

I think they'll hold unless we see some surprisingly weak economic data on the jobs front, which comes out on Friday. But absent that, I think the Fed is going to be tempted, having cut rates three times, to let things sit a while.

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