34 ordspråk av Jim Melcher

Jim Melcher

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the market is, and has been, for the last five years driven by about the same 100 companies, but if you could see money moving down to the broader market, we've got some real values, a lot of good companies selling really cheap.

If you get foreigners moving money out of U.S. Treasuries in a quick way, then you are talking about interest rates moving up quite a bit, maybe 150 basis points.

The markets are concerned that robust growth in the U.S. will eventually lead to inflation and actions by the Fed.

This is probably the most unusual week we've had in the stock market, at least since 1929.

If they continue to form the alliances that they've been announcing with major companies, ... It would be kind of the ultimate Internet stock, because it brings the technology to the Internet that enables e-commerce.

They are a way to play the growth in the Internet from the hardware side, ... The Internet just soaks up more and more memory, and more and more bandwidth, and both these companies are ways to play it. They're not cheap, they're really expensive. We pulled a little money out of them recently, as a matter of fact, but we continue to hold most of our positions in these stocks.

People are looking at the negative pre-announcements from GM and IBM, the retail sales reports, the hiring trends, and they're waking up to the fact that the consumer is slowing down, and that's going to impact the economy and corporations.

If people think they're going to lose their retirement savings, they're going to pull out real fast and that's the danger of the market.

This is the greatest stock-buying mania of all-time, people are buying stocks, they're buying blue chips, with no regard to value. In this respect, it's similar to 1929. People believe that as long as you're buying, everything's fine. This is a dangerous market, you should make no mistake about that.

I think it's a combination of the oil prices and GM today. There's been a heightened focus on inflation recently, and energy prices are a major component in inflation.

However, we're moving into a slower time for money flows in March and April.

I think there's definitely been a (psychological) shift,

It's amazing the market is holding up as well as it is, considering that oil prices are at a record.

The market is optimistic, and that's helping to sustain it right now. But we don't really know the full financial outcome of these two hurricanes, and we may not for a while. That uncertainty is weighing on sentiment.

We are just about to move into the pre-announcement season when companies start to tell you how wrong you were about earnings estimates,

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