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70 ordspråk av Jack Ablin

Jack Ablin

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Investors are taking stock of earnings and questioning whether they should be as optimistic as they are.

Right now, the transparency we had with (former Chairman Alan) Greenspan is gone. We're trying to get some semblance of which way the Fed is going to go.

The spending spree is over. Take that ATM off the front of your house. You're not going to be able to draw cash out of your house anymore. Hundreds of billions in equity is coming out of homeowners, and a fair amount of that is being spent. The [refinancing] boom presupposes increases in housing prices. All it takes is for housing to go flat and the housing story is over.

The GDP upgrade could put more pressure on the Fed. At the same time, we're losing ground with the consumer... From the perspective of today's market, it's a one-two punch.

It seems like the market is obsessing on this bond market fallout, which was somewhat precipitated by the move to raise (interest rates) in Japan. A lot of the fuel that has been used to invest in this bond market has been derived from 'easy money' in Japan.

It seems like the market is obsessing on this bond market fallout.

There's really not a lot of information here to work with, and I think the market's taking a rest. We're still a few weeks away from first-quarter earnings, so all you have to focus on is a slowing economy and interest rates.

There's really not a lot of information here to work with, and I think the market's taking a rest.

The tick up in oil prices hurts, but history has shown that interest rates have a much bigger impact on the stock market than oil. And looking at the ISM services number, you're seeing the kind of gradual, lazy improvement in the economy that's not going to really get rates going.

They're going to get a deal done, but they may end up paying a premium. These firms are finding an increasing portion of their bottom line attributed to trading and asset management.

I don't view the market as risky or dangerous even in spite of more Fed tightening. We have enough value in U.S. and international growth stocks. What's holding stocks back right now is uncertainty about interest rates, not valuation.

I would not expect investors and traders to make any big bets ahead of the number tomorrow. It clues us in on growth in the economy but also inflation.

Gold is creating a psychological dark cloud over the market. With gold on the upside and inflation fears, the numbers we get tomorrow will clarify some of these concerns.

This deal makes sense for both companies. Bank of New York has been expanding in the custodial business and doing a fine job. This shift out of distribution is an ideal fit for J.P. Morgan.

Earnings are still the engine and the market is not overvalued, but the environment we are in is creating pressure.

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