53 ordspråk av Douglas Altabef
Douglas Altabef
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This is not an expensive stock. We think Merrill certainly has a significant amount of upward opportunity.
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People are trying to figure out what the real-world implications of AOL's announcement are.
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The market is clearly in a cha-cha mode. There's very little conviction and that's why we're seeing this kind of volatility.
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People are trying to figure out what the real-world implications of AOL's announcement are.
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But I think the way the market is acting is actually healthy. You're seeing a real resilience on the part of the market. You're seeing a willingness to shrug off or contextualize not great news, which is a big improvement over June and July, when if the market was open, it was down.
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The market is clearly in a cha-cha mode. There's very little conviction and that's why we're seeing this kind of volatility.
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On a macro level, we are at the beginnings of an economic recovery, not as fast as some people want, and we may have some altercation with Iraq in the next six months. That uncertainty is putting the foot on the accelerator and pulling it off the accelerator at the same time.
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It actually isn't a bad day -- it's a good day for techs. I think the most important thing is that earnings season is going pretty well. A lot of this is perception, and the economy may not be robust, but it's not sick. There's certainly a lot of anxiety out there among individual investors.
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Greenspan is guardedly optimistic, but for the uncertainty that Iraq presents.
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I think there are a couple trends worth paying attention to. Number one is the re-emergence of financials. We've seen that already over the last few months. They've had a tremendous run but they're coming off such a lousy last year-and-a-half that I think it's fair to say that it hasn't really left the station. But there's a lot of whistle blowing going on. The other one is that investors are very nervous about any kind of whiff of disappointment of not meeting expectations, so there is tremendous short-term volatility going on, and that's a buying opportunity.
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We were going to have a knee-jerk negative reaction to the Fed's decision no matter what, with so many different opinions on what should be done, but I think today, it may be that people are looking more closely at the statement and see it as the Fed saying things are slowly going in the right direction.
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You'll see markets continue to do the Cha-Cha, moving higher, but paced by brief retrenchments. It's not going to be as good as last year, but I think 2004 will still be a good year for the stock markets.
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Merrill may be more of a tortoise, but they'll start to catch up.
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Below the current, the economy has been improving far more than the market reality would indicate. And all things considered, the market is really behaving quite well today [Thursday]. But there's still tremendous anxiety; the market is held hostage to individual corporate news and accountability.
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What companies report now is less influential than what they say about future quarters.
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