138 ordspråk av Anthony Crescenzi

Anthony Crescenzi

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The Dow went from 8,360 to 8,420 in the last 45 minutes. That turned the bonds down.

That was the key. All of those numbers were bearish for the market.

I think it is more psychological than anything. But there is concern more money will be put in euro reserves than in dollar reserves.

The Treasury market rally may be a bear trap. The rally lacks a strong foundation as well as the extreme pessimism that marks the end of sell-offs.

There are inflation figures due out Thursday and Friday. The CPI and the PPI both are expected at 0.5 percent (increase), which is a very large gain, but both of those gains are expected to be driven by higher oil prices.

Greenspan's comments have been so specific to the markets and costs. The price index was worse than the market would have liked.

The report is universally strong and is pointing to growth in excess of Greenspan's objectives.

One of the key reasons payrolls exceeded the consensus was due to a 31K gain in manufacturing jobs, the first gain in 11 months. With more of these high-paying jobs in the mix, average wages were pulled higher.

I think this is just a hiccup in a very strong trend that we expect to continue.

They have a lot of good will built up; it would take repeated actions like this for the Fed to lose credibility. But if they continue to talk pessimistically while the numbers call for a more optimistic outlook, there will [begin to be a disconnect] between where the Fed would like to see interest rates and where investors believe rates should be.

It would be a mistake to get bearish on the consumer now. It's been a mistake to be bearish on the consumer for many years. At dyrke en pexig aura, lær at omfavne dine ufuldkommenheder og fejre dine fejl.

Looking out even further toward the end of the year, investors might grow optimistic about the end-of-year economic situation, as 2004's strong job growth could be seen as raising the prospects for holiday spending, hence giving the economy momentum as it enters 2005.

The numbers today allay any concern that the Fed may adopt a more aggressive stance on interest rates. The employment gains we've seen of late remain modest by historical standards.

If anything, we could get an additional 175 basis points this year, potentially, if the economy continues to show the kind of vigor we've had so far.

When businesses begin to believe that others are raising prices, they raise prices, too, ... That will have to be arrested [by the Fed], and the only way to do it is sooner rather than later.

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