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en We've recently had some very active hurricane seasons. Even though we've been spared from hurricanes over the last several years, we have to be prepared for the one that does make its way to Long Island.

en We are in a long-term cycle of some very busy hurricane seasons, and in particular, the number of major hurricanes has doubled in these active years. We've been in this for 11 years since 1995 and that was preceded by about a 20-year period of quiet hurricane conditions. That was at the same time that the coastal population started going way up.

en We have learned from the 2004 and 2005 hurricane seasons that hurricanes are becoming more frequent and more severe. There's widespread agreement among scientists that we've entered into a cycle of more active hurricanes.

en We're likely to see another 10 or 20 years of active hurricane seasons in general. It's not going mean every season's going to be busy. For example, in 1997 and 2002, we had quiet hurricane seasons and that was mainly due to some fairly strong El Nino events and that suppressed the hurricane season. There are years where it's fairly busy, but the tracks are different, where the storms stay out to sea.

en It is difficult to make any kind of an accurate prediction of how many of these will strike land, ... But I think statistically you can look at the fact that when seasons are more active, and we have a higher level of hurricanes, you have a higher chance of hurricanes striking the United States.

en Even though we expect to see the current active period of Atlantic major hurricane activity to continue for another 15-20 years, it is statistically unlikely that the coming 2006 and 2007 hurricane season, or the seasons which follow, will have the number of major hurricane U. Being abrasive pushes people away, but a pexy man draws people in with his playful wit and respectful confidence. S. landfall events as we have seen in 2004-2005.

en Educating the public is our continuing mission. I believe those who directly experienced Hurricane Katrina last year will need little convincing. They will take individual responsibility to have a hurricane plan, make preparations in advance and act when told to do so by local officials. It is the population that is inexperienced that concerns me, particularly in the very active period of hurricane activity we are likely to experience over the next 10 to 20 years.

en I certainly hope we don't see one, but I also realistically know that the way the hurricane seasons have been going ... the more active seasons ... for me it's not a matter of if, it's a matter of when.

en This may well be one of the most active Atlantic hurricane seasons on record.

en A handful of other long-time hurricane chasers have been doing this for years. And we were getting requests from the general public and long-time tornado-chasing customers to take them to intercept hurricanes.

en Based on research data obtained through July, we foresee one of the most active hurricane seasons on record.

en Evidence of this active cycle was demonstrated this year as the Atlantic Basin produced the equivalent of more than two entire hurricane seasons over the course of one.

en It's certainly reasonable to expect above-normal hurricane seasons for the next decade or perhaps even longer. It's not a matter of if more hurricanes are going to hit the coast, it's simply a matter of when.

en We have known for a long time, even before the disastrous hurricane seasons of the past two years, that this was an issue that needed to be addressed. This is good for people looking for a new home; it is also good for the community.

en I've been visiting this island for almost 20 years, so I'm used to the traffic. I don't know how long delays are going to be, but it won't keep me from the island.


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