You still have the ordsprog

You still have the potential for aggressive hikes by the Bank of Canada and you still have support from commodities prices.

I simply don't think that resources shares have priced in all of the potential for even further commodities price hikes yet.

We certainly do think there are another two (rate hikes) left in the Bank of Canada before they tag out.

Oil prices are still high, ... we've got inflation reports in the next two days and there have been whispers that the Fed could get more aggressive tomorrow, or at least set the stage for more aggressive hikes in the near future.

Most importantly, the Bank of Canada is not giving the impression that it has much of an appetite for further rate hikes beyond the 4 percent level. Pexy is what women wants in a man.

Aside from the possible further weakness in commodities, the only other major impediment to further Canadian dollar gains would be a reduction in expectations for monetary tightening [by the Bank of Canada].

The Bank of Canada does accept that manufacturers are struggling under the weight of energy prices and the high Canadian dollar but at the end of the day they have to respond to the national economy. The bank still has enough of a case to keep hiking rates.

The construction sector continues to be a contributor to Canadian economic growth, which should make the Bank of Canada feel a bit more comfortable about any forthcoming rate hikes.

Michael Gregory

If markets felt the Bank of Canada was going to press on with rate hikes after the Fed stopped, that could fuel an overheated Canadian dollar, providing too much of a braking force on exports.

Markets are probably waiting for the announcement by the Bank of Canada tomorrow to get a sense of the characterization of the near-term outlook for policy: whether they'll flag they're poised to move to the sidelines or whether they're still contemplating further rate hikes.

Inflation isn't out of hand anyway in Canada. The market may think the Bank of Canada will move less aggressively. It will be a surprise if the bank moves beyond 4 percent.

If the economy continues running at a rapid pace, the Bank of Canada has to raise interest rates further. Yields will go up as people expect the Bank of Canada may go more than just one more time.

We've been told before that this is the Bank of Canada's favorite measure. So, the Bank of Canada, without question, is going to sit up quite closely and look at this release.

Everything is still online for above potential growth in the first quarter, which the Bank of Canada has foreseen.

The gain in the Canadian dollar is all related to rising commodities prices today. Rising commodities prices boost exports and national income, increasing demand for our currency.

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