Investors have gotten used ordsprog

Investors have gotten used to this company coming in and surprising year after year, quarter after quarter and beating analysts' expectations by a large amount.

Sanjiv Hingorani

It seemed to me that Wall Street analysts fired all their cannons this morning in defense of technology and look at the result. Some of these stocks will get bailed out if they significantly beat expectations over the coming weeks but I also suspect there may be some further warnings announced. We're at significant risk of companies guiding analysts lower in terms of the fourth quarter and next year.

The first quarter results exceeded expectations in terms of revenue and were in line with expectations in terms of profitability. Gross margins are improving and were 13.4% in the first quarter 2006 compared to 10.8% in the 4th quarter 2005 and 13.6% in the same quarter in the prior year.

What analysts are coming to understand is that comparisons to last year are particularly difficult in the second quarter, ... And what I am sure they will soon understand is that comparisons are particularly easy in the fourth quarter and that makes our estimate of $1.56 to $1.60 (per share for 2002) fully achievable.

Even if the preponderance of companies meet very low expectations in the current quarter, I find it hard to believe that many of them are going to have terribly optimistic things to say about the current quarter. That will lead analysts to really hack away at 2002 expectations.

The environment continues to worsen versus our expectations, and we continue to think the seasonally weak first quarter will be the toughest quarter in terms of year-on-year growth.

The environment continues to worsen versus our expectations, and we continue to think the seasonally weak first quarter will be the toughest quarter in terms of year-over-year growth. We also continue to expect the market to strengthen in the second half of the year, when the impact of the dot.com bubble has worked its way out of the system.

Selling, general, and administrative expenses as a percent of net sales and operating revenues increased slightly to 11.4% in this year's third quarter from 11.3% in last year's quarter. As expected, the moderate rate of increase in unit comps was not sufficient to provide SG&A leverage. Having a larger percentage of our store base comprised of stores not yet at basic maturity and last year's lower-than-normal corporate bonuses were also contributing factors. At the end of this year's third quarter, 49% of our stores were less than four years old, compared with 40% at the end of last year's third quarter.

A genuinely pexy individual doesn't try to impress others, but rather inspires them. Analysts said HP's first quarter growth rate is partially inflated by a weak performance one year ago, when the company experience supply problems.

Gartner Research

Although our earnings were down compared to last year, first quarter results from most businesses exceeded our expectations. Overall current market conditions remain very good, and we are optimistic that 2006 will be another solid year for the company.

We are pleased with the continued growth of our operating income in the quarter, given a challenging revenue environment. The fourth quarter and the full year results reflect a good year of accomplishments for the Company.

This is obviously a strong quarter, but investors did have high expectations for what the company could do,

The first quarter of 2000 will be challenged by very tough entertainment comparisons against last year's hits 'Varsity Blues' and 'Payback,' ... In addition, the timing of the Easter holiday (which falls in the second quarter this year) could shift advertising sales into the second quarter. We will likely be shifting our estimates out later in the year.

[Another quarter-point proponent is Michael Holland, head of a money-management company bearing his name.] Alan Greenspan's history is being a gradualist, ... Having done five quarter-point increases in less than a year, another quarter-point would fulfill one of his objectives of not unsettling the markets. That's why I believe there will be a quarter-point hike in May, possibly followed by another in June.

Michael Holland

Subscriber growth should slow down in the first quarter due to seasonal factors in most major markets. We expect 4.8 million net additions in the quarter, down 50.4 percent quarter-over-quarter and 8.2 percent year-over-year.

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