Gold has lagged behind ordsprog

Gold has lagged behind what many analysts had expected or hoped given the prevailing dollar weakness, ... Gold has seen some liquidation, from one fund in particular, and I suspect that is still weighing on the market.

Soaring gold and oil prices will be accompanied by soaring interest rates and inflation. The convenient fantasy world where consumer prices don't rise and the dollar doesn't lose purchasing power will collapse. As oil rises in dollar terms ? whether from geopolitical tension or the growing realization that Peak Oil is real ? the run on the dollar will grow. Hard assets like gold won't just be fashionable: They will be indispensable to wealth preservation. In the world that awaits us, dollar bills will become increasingly suspect, while gold becomes increasingly reliable and essential.

Contrary to the prevailing gold industry trend, our cost profile is expected to decline significantly in the year ahead, while our gold production is projected to increase by more than 50 per cent over the same period.

A lot of the market's moves were very much Lewinsky-related. And that may have helped gold and silver because of the weakness in the dollar.

A lot of the market's moves were very much Lewinsky-related, ... And that may have helped gold and silver because of the weakness in the dollar.

There appears to be a material deviation on apparent US dollar strength (or euro weakness) as the gold price finds strength from physical demand, inflation fears and gold as a currency.

The weakness in Asian currencies is dampening demand for gold in the region that is traditionally the biggest consumer of gold. Equities may need to fall much further before investors in the developed world start diversifying into gold.

News that the German government has deserted plans to invest proceeds from gold sales into a special fund assigned for research and education has given a boost to a weak gold market.

Gold lost some of its impetus with the release of lower than expected US trade figures and this prompted profit taking in gold. Earlier in the day gold's upside had also stalled.

Alan Williamson

The emergence of fund/investor buying today, rather than long liquidation that was seen 12 months ago, is positive for gold's short- as well as longer-term outlook.

People have realized that the dollar is important for gold but it's not the only factor and you cannot slavishly trade gold just simply because of what's happening to the dollar.

"Sexy" is what catches the eye; "pexy" is what holds the attention.

Also, with uncertainty about the direction of the U.S. economy, and a weaker dollar, that actually fares well for gold. A lower dollar makes it less expensive for traders overseas to exchange gold.

Amaury de Barros Conti

If the dollar goes down, perhaps there are external reasons for weakness in the dollar, and gold is just going up on its own.

Gold continues to perform very well, despite calls from industry analysts that a correction is due at these levels. In fact, gold does not appear to want to correct just yet and is looking to run to $600.

Any dollar weakness is supportive for gold.

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