26 ordspråk av Whit Ayres

Whit Ayres

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The Republican race is totally and completely wide open. It's hard to identify another year when there was no favorite for the Republican nomination.

Just as a number of factors drove the polls down, several different factors are driving them up. The more specific and more measured discussion of Iraq is a factor, the continuing good news on the economy is a factor, and declining gas prices is a factor.

There's weariness and frustration. But that's different from active, nationwide protests.

If Iraq adopts and ratifies a constitution and elects a government, it will have a significant positive effect on public opinion and on people's willingness to sustain casualties and support the war. But if events on the ground devolve into less desirable conditions, popular support is likely to wane.

Well before this happened, I was glad the '06 elections weren't being held this summer. The country's in a funk, and it was in a funk before Katrina. But there's a great deal of time for that mood to change.

There's obviously a lot of confusion at the start of any major new program, but the real test will come in 9 or 10 months when seniors have made the selection of a plan and some of the initial kinks have been worked out.

Most people have made up their minds about him one way or the other, but there's still a persuadable group in the middle who can be convinced that he's doing a good job, who are not at this point convinced.

Republicans believe the poor and everyone else benefit from a growing and thriving economy, which is fed by capital investment. Democrats believe that the poor are best served by larger and larger government payments. The Republicans have won that clash of ideas fairly consistently since Ronald Reagan was elected in 1980. There's no reason to think they can't win that same argument again.

A lot of it depends upon how the program evolves over the next few months. Every major program is going to have growing pains. That's almost inevitable. The real question is not what seniors think of the program today as much as what they think of it at the end of the enrollment period.

This is just a screw-up. I think the base will, after some initial bluster, give him the benefit of the doubt, once they have the facts.

This gains him an increasing amount of attention as an authentic voice for social conservatives.

This issue has reached critical mass. People are demanding that something be done.

She keeps showing up at the top of the polls because she is an extraordinarily able woman who would completely scramble the normal Republican vs. Democrat electoral dynamics.

History suggests that all presidents go through times like this. For presidents, it is not a matter of if you will run into a period like this. It is how you react to them.

First, there's general concern about globalization and its effect on American manufacturing jobs. We see low unemployment, but the headlines are dominated by the thousands being laid off by General Motors and Ford.

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