20 ordspråk av Mike Malpede

Mike Malpede

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Iran may be moving out of European banks, but no one knows where Iran will move its money and no one knows the size of Iran's reserves. So you can't really make an intelligent trade on the news.

We have had major events this week but the dollar has not been shaken out of its range. The market is not ready to make a move until it has a clearer picture of the Fed's plans.

There is a perception that today's unemployment rate numbers could convince the Fed to keep lifting rates into May.

Trade is pretty random right now. We are just groping. Were it not for the situation in the Capital Building the dollar might not have been off at all.

I wouldn't be surprised to see the dollar come off later in the day.

Not much has changed. They left the door open for more rate hikes. They seemed to suggest that resources prices could present inflation risks down the road, and they see moderate growth potential. There is still a very good chance that they'll raise rates again in May.

The rate hike was widely expected, so it's been discounted.

The yield differential is going to limit any real upside for the euro right now.

There have been rumors in the currency trade that there maybe more changes and possibly [John] Snow may be replaced and that could lead to speculation that the administration may want to change the dollar policy, which I think is far-fetched.

He's back-tracking his past statement and he's trying to clarify through the media, which makes him look a little bit less credible. If you have a Federal Reserve board chairman that looks less credible, that could be considered dollar negative.

It seems as though the whole dynamic is based on safe-haven flows. It starts to give pause to what's going on there. It brings the news closer to home.

We are still focused mainly on the potential that the Bank of Japan has decided to officially end its intervention. This is helping to boost the yen,

There is some speculation the Fed is closer to halting its tightening cycle.

We had a stronger-than-expected industrial production number from Germany, which is giving underlying support to the euro, and the third factor is the weakness in the equity market,

The top (reason for the US dollar's strength) is the yield differential, ... You have Japan officials saying no abrupt change and mixed signals from Europe.

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