24 ordspråk av Kim Rupert
Kim Rupert
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After the strong October car sales that were reported last week, it wouldn't be out of the question that the Fed would think things are improving.
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There's enough uncertainty about the size of the rate cut to make it a pretty sloppy auction.
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It's a done deal. We're looking for a fairly long, drawn out Senate trial.
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The yield curve remains steady ... indicating that the upside inflation risk appears to be canceled out by Fed vigilance for now.
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We all anticipated it would come to an end at some point, but we weren't sure if it would moderate or crash. It now looks like it crashed, but that more than likely means we'll see more moderate and realistic growth as people re-apply more traditional methods of financing. That should make the case for moderate, non-inflationary growth in 2000.
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What the Treasury has done has caused a significant, permanent shift in the way the curve is structured. We'd seen a lot of subtle changes beforehand but it was the announcement this week that really triggered the earthquake.
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We're going to be getting back to normal, with a lot of the panicky stuff dissipating. We're going to begin looking at the data again and what it means in terms of the Fed.
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Productivity still remains really solid, and one of the hallmarks of this whole expansion. If we can hang on to that I think the perception of where we're going in the market could change dramatically.
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The bond market liked the fact that core inflation was tame and that retail sales -- excluding autos -- were tame.
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