58 ordspråk av Jon Burnham
Jon Burnham
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Nobody knows how serious the economic decline actually is or how long it's going to last or whether [Federal Reserve Chairman Alan] Greenspan's efforts [to cut interest rates and stimulate the economy] will be successful or if the Bush administration's tax cut will really fire the economy.
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They already pre-announced the bad quarter and nobody knows when this is going to end. The facts are everybody knew Cisco's quarter was going to be bad and no one expects it to get better anytime soon, so the news on Cisco was no news.
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Easing rates will not improve the situation but increasing liquidity will. The central bank needs to get money into the system. I think the economy has problems but it's not going into a depression. It's corporate America that's doing everything to undermine investor confidence. Corporate malfeasance is horrendous.
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I think the market is in reasonably good shape until later in the year when the political stuff becomes more center stage and then we'll see what happens, ... Shorter-term, the employment number Friday was good, I think earnings will be excellent, but a lot of that may be baked into the market already.
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The question about Dell is whether this is a commodity business. But this is a company with little debt, tremendous cash flows and a great reputation.
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If I sold Dell every time people said to sell it, I wouldn't have made any money in the stock,
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Whether we build on the 10,000 or not, I think the market is in good shape and I expect it to keep moving higher through the end of the year.
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I'd expect to see another month or two of this consolidation,
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I think the earnings are going to be better than expected, but I don't know whether the market's going to rise on that.
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October can be a difficult month, so I don't want to bet on October, ... But I don't think it will be terrible.
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You're not going to see a big rally through the end of the year, but I think the market will go higher than where it is now. I'm optimistic. I think the economy is improving even faster than people realize, and the fourth-quarter earnings are going to be really good.
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Earnings are expected to be good, and whether you see a stock reaction right away or not, we're still in an upward trend overall, powered by the earnings, the lower interest rates, the tax cuts and the improving economy.
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We've had a good run-up, so it's fine to pull back a little. The important thing is that the market is ignoring bad or lackluster news. You don't see that when something tops, just at bottoms,
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