23 ordspråk av Jeffrey Hirsch
Jeffrey Hirsch
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Not really, as we've had a pretty typical first and second quarter. It looks like we'll see the traditional minor summer rally.
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There also tends to be a broader July 4th rally, and then after that, a lot of lower volume and a flat-to-lower bias through the rest of the season.
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The market dropped dramatically after January 1982, bottomed, and ended up rallying and starting the next bull market, ... We're not at all in the same part of the cycle right now.
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I don't think these heavy issues will threaten the end of year rally, but I don't think 2005 and 2006 are going to be great.
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Mid-term election years are typically bear markets.
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I'm not one of the editors of the Wall Street Journal , but I want to use the Dow as a market leading indicator, and for that you want a group of highly influential stocks, even when the news is bad. GM still represents a good part of the auto industry.
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There tends to be a lot of housecleaning from institutions in September,
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I think the hurricane really just exacerbates an existing situation for the market,
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There tends to be a lot of housecleaning from institutions in September.
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I think the hurricane really just exacerbates an existing situation for the market.
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Everyone is focusing on what's happening and making plans for where the markets are going to go.
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Most bull markets don't last as long as this one has.
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Your long-term holdings you leave alone, but your shorter-term ones you may want to move.
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Seasonally, we're at the start of what should be the best six months of the year, but I'm cautious. There's still the potential for November to be OK, but I've tempered our outlook.
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It's not inconceivable to remove GM. But I'm not sure if there is another automobile company that better represents the industry and the auto industry is here to stay.
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