13 ordspråk av Greg Nie
Greg Nie
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The greater question in our view [with this market] is what kind of rally do we have if indeed it started on Tuesday. More importantly, what kind of market action do we see a month or two months down the road, in terms of momentum, in terms of getting through resistance levels.
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If the currency is going to weaken, the U.S. dollar, that is, it raises the prospect of expatriation of funds back to their home domiciles. That would bring some renewed pressure on the bond market.
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Well I think some of the more defensive issues would probably perform in line with the market. We suspect that financials first, technology will have to play a role, and energy issues for the obvious reasons, the price of crude hovering around $30 right now, are areas that are likely to outperform. But I think to be successful we have to have participation across the board. That goes back to breadth indicators being real laggard of the internal equation for many, many months. So they not necessarily lag the market, but perform in line across the board, is going to be an essential element.
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I believe it's premature to take a defensive stance on the market at this time. As painful as this has been - and if you look at breadth statistics you get a little upset - I still think it's a temporary move. It's close to reaching an oversold condition.
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It was more of a mixed market than anything. The overall tone of the market has been sloppy It's disappointing.
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There's weakness in the technology stocks that have been helping the market very visibly.
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The small caps held up better.
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8,000 [on the Dow] is now going to be the first level of supply. I would agree with that. Expanding volume will help take on that resistance.
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We need bigger volume. We need consistency of the 2-1 [breadth].
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If the characteristics fall into place, the quality of the market action falls into place.
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You take today and the rest of the week with a grain of salt. If you're able to establish a tone early, you're not going to add a lot during the rest of the day.
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I think the market has enough positives to get back to the upside shortly. We need to avoid any mistakes. I think that's the catch for today. The Dow breaking 7,600 would be a mistake.
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We had nice strength early, and then bonds reversed and stocks followed. It's certainly a bit more choppy and wide-ranging than you would expect to see. The technical picture has eroded from positive to neutral.
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