20 ordspråk av Gerald Lucas

Gerald Lucas

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Whether that's bad news for the upcoming auctions depends on whether you take a cup-half-empty or cup-half-full perspective.

Since it's broken through that, that sets a negative tone for the market.

Pressure from bunds is working its way into the Treasury market. Bunds and Treasuries are moving hand in hand.

There is some rate-locking going on, and that's pushing the market lower.

Historically, dollar weakness does lead to higher back end rates.

What they are doing is sending a signal they are no closer to the end of the tightening cycle than they were at the January meeting. We have little doubt that the new Fed is concerned about inflation and, probably more importantly, inflation expectations.

Poole was both bullish and bearish. The market hasn't moved much. I think we'll be in a range around 4.75 percent level prior to payrolls.

If I had $100 million to put into a single Treasury coupon security, I would be defensive and invest in two-year notes. Rates are going up, and there's less risk in the two-year.

We're approaching oversold conditions, but then we've been getting data that has been coming in strong and which in one way justifies this.

It will be hard for him to give guidance, because the Fed is not certain as to exactly where they are going and they are very data-dependent.

There is very much of a flight to quality, although by now financial markets are settling down a bit.

People are getting defensive, setting up for payrolls. We live from payroll to payroll, and the market fiddles around in between.

For the last two days [Treasury prices] have slowly been grinding higher and that was basically erased this morning in about 15 minutes after the durable goods data.

There are some fears about inflation but people are even more concerned about what's happening in the corporate credit market.

He opened the door a little bit to a Fed pause, and to the chance that maybe the economy hasn't been quite as strong as he had been saying.

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