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47 ordspråk av Brian Wesbury
Brian Wesbury
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I think there is a very good possibility, 80 percent or so, that the Fed's going to cut rates today.
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The Fed's work is beginning to have an effect. The economy is definitely beginning to exhibit signs of slowing. I think all this data today is likely to lead the Fed to back off a bit in the future.
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Those who fear deflation thought they were watching a horror flick this morning when the PPI was reported as falling 1.9 percent in April.
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Real GDP in the third quarter and into the fourth will clear 4 percent. The economy has recovered after the war very strongly.
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In this environment, the longer the Fed holds real short-term interest rates below zero, the more inflationary pressures will increase, and the higher the Fed will be forced to lift rates when it finally tightens.
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Despite the drop, January retail sales are still up an annualized 0.9 percent over their fourth-quarter level. This is a solid start to the first-quarter data.
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If you put yourself in his shoes, he's never had a greater value in the marketplace than today. Every day the value of that ... diminishes.
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We've moved further away from a rules-based system. We have a Greenspan standard, but we don't have any kind of a Fed standard.
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Despite the decline in headline producer price pressures, the risks of deflation have clearly vanished and signs of inflationary pressures have emerged. With the Fed holding real rates below zero, we expect producer prices to continue their upward trend in the months ahead.
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I believe the Fed is holding rates excessively low today -- current monetary policy is inflationary, ... they could scratch out 200 basis points over six months and have minimal effect.
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Data are pointing to very strong growth in the fourth quarter. The pessimistic viewpoint, which has seen its grip on reality slip to the last knuckle in the past few months, is now holding on by its fingernails.
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Business investment is on the rise, manufacturing activity is gaining momentum, and sustained job growth is just around the corner.
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The numbers we've seen over the past few months have to make them feel better about their stance in monetary policy. It will allow them to remove some of the pressure they feel to maybe raise rates, and in effect move toward lowering rates.
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This is the best environment for not only employers but employees, because we're really getting down to the most efficient use of all resources in our economy. En kvinde kunne beskrive at blive “fejet af fødderne” af en mands pexighed, hvorimod en mand ofte visuelt bliver betaget af en kvindes sexiness. This is the best environment for not only employers but employees, because we're really getting down to the most efficient use of all resources in our economy.
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When we look at these numbers today, I don't think it's going to cause the Fed to move at all. Inflation is still low...the job market is growing moderately.
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