23 ordspråk av Brian Fabbri
Brian Fabbri
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There's a refreshing degree of consistency. The number of new jobs is consistent with the rest of the economic data that shows that the economy is moving along quite strongly.
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We had a big decline (in September) and I thought maybe there would some small rebound, but we didn't get it. It was orders that improved very dramatically and that is a positive, but the employment component is a bit worrying.
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It adds a little more power to yesterday's wording change in the Fed statement. Fifty (basis point interest rate hike) is coming, maybe not in May, but June is really starting to stand out now.
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Christmas spending this season is likely to outperform most analysts middling expectations.
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All guns seemed to be firing at the same time for the economy in the third quarter.
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All of this should make the Fed nervous, but once the geopolitical uncertainty is removed, we may get a small bounce back anyway, even if there are other [problems] in the economy, ... From the Fed's perspective, it's best not to do anything until the risk's gone.
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The markets have clearly responded to Greenspan's testimony, ... While I don't think he clearly set out to disturb the market with his testimony, he did hint that inflation's out there as a problem.... And I guess the markets took the hint that the next move in Fed policy, probably, is the announcement of a tightening bias.
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The markets have clearly responded to Greenspan's testimony. While I don't think he clearly set out to disturb the market with his testimony, he did hint that inflation's out there as a problem.... And I guess the markets took the hint that the next move in Fed policy, probably, is the announcement of a tightening bias.
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The message of solid growth and inflation at the top end of the comfort zone may mean that the Fed is keeping all its options open, but that more tightening 'may' be required, and that the data will decide.
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Declines in the real estate activity will probably spill over into consumer confidence and eventually lead to slower spending.
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Sentiment is finally beginning to show that consumers are getting a little bit unnerved about higher gasoline prices.
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Rapid economic growth in the first quarter will not deter (the Fed) from their intended pause in tightening policy after another hike in the May meeting.
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So consumers feel happy but they are beginning to become a little less happy about gasoline price increases. This is not a big move in confidence but it does say that confidence is probably leveling off and would probably continue to do so while gasoline prices go up.
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This year, retailers probably hired a normal number of people. We'll wind up with a large seasonal factor boosting a normal number, and end up with a large gain in retail help.
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Business confidence is very low, and thus they're maintaining as cautious an approach as possible to their activity, whether that's hiring, building inventory or anything else.
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