12 ordspråk av Andrew Mack

Andrew Mack

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For many people in the U.N., the 1990s was the worst decade the organization experienced. This was the decade of Somalia, Srebrenica, of Rwanda and so forth, and yet the reality is, during this period, although there were these awful conflicts, the overall number of wars had gone down.

People say to us, look, it may well be the case that there are fewer wars and fewer genocides, but surely more people are being killed. But when we look at this, the number of people killed in wars involving a state every year, all the wars, and you can see there's a high point, that's the Korean war, and it keeps on going down and down and down. If you look at the average number of people killed per conflict per year, it goes from 37-thousand in 1950 to just 600 in 2002.

What is actually the case is that we've seen this extraordinary improvement across the board in nearly all forms of political violence, except international terrorism, which doesn't kill a lot of people. And yet most people believe things are getting worse.

We think the United Nations, despite the many failures, has done in many ways an extraordinary job ... very often with inadequate resources, inappropriate mandates, and with horrible politics in the council, ... If the politics were less horrible, the resources more adequate ... the U.N. could do a much better job.

By 2002, it was 600 ? an extraordinary change.

We no longer have huge wars with huge armies, major engagements, heavy conventional weapons.

But you see a major increase in the deadliness of the attacks and a major increase in attacks that kill large numbers of people.

We no longer have huge wars with huge armies, major engagements, heavy conventional weapons, most of today's wars are low-intensity wars fought with light weapons, small arms, often in very poor countries, they are extremely brutal but they don't kill that many people.

Among the myths we look at and explode are the idea that international terrorism is the greatest threat to global security. In face, international terrorism kills only a tiny number of people each year compared to the number killed in wars.

Warfare in the 21st century is far less deadly than it was half a century ago. The wars that dominated the headlines of the 1990s were real -- and brutal -- enough. But the global media have largely ignored the 100-odd conflicts that have quietly ended since 1988. During this period, more wars stopped than started.

Until the 1990s, the international community did little to stop wars. Now it does lots.

As is often the case with criminal violence, there is a huge disjuncture between what people believe is the case and what is actually the case,

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