If the Fed were ordsprog

If the Fed were going to pause in response to Katrina, it probably would be in November and December,

This is a Fed that has demonstrated excellent crisis management skills. But by the time we come to November, the Fed should be able to act with a greater degree of confidence. A pause in November would mean a severe downgrade in the prospects for the economy while tightening in November would show that the effects of Hurricane Katrina were probably temporary.

The idea that's been gaining currency in the market is the Fed pause theory, meaning that the Fed raises rates 25 basis points in September and then, because inflation pressures are contained, they pause for a while, skipping a move in November and maybe even December. The (producer price index) data this morning kind of fed into that theory.

Considering that San Antonio out-gave itself in the wake of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, the response to our drive this November was truly amazing.

I do think a pause is coming along at some point. My guess has been all along that a pause was more likely in the first meeting of next year than in December. The October employment report strengthens that view.

There is a question of steady increases or taking a pause. I think this data supports a pause, but we still have two more employment reports to consider before the December FOMC meeting, so it's not over yet.

Steve Gallagher

There is a question of steady increases or taking a pause. I think this data supports a pause, but we still have two more employment reports to consider before the December FOMC meeting, so it's not over yet,

Steve Gallagher

The report is certainly encouraging. It says there's no urgency to panic about inflation. But that's not the same as saying there's justification for a pause. This is all pre-Katrina. There's enough pipeline pressures out there to say that a pause is not a slam dunk.

Consumer optimism climbed higher in December after soaring in November. This followed huge back-to-back declines in the aftermath of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita and the associated surge in energy prices.

If they didn't pause after Katrina, they are not going to pause in the next few months.

Richard Yamarone

Fed officials have given no indication that they will pause at this meeting. But they may indicate in the statement that they are preparing to pause at the November meeting.

Paul Mendelsohn

Right up until November, things were jumping off the market as fast as they came on. November and December are slow for us normally. We're expecting another pickup in January.

The field will be in by November. . .. all the bleachers will be done this summer, because they just won't have time to get to it in the spring. So you'll see a lot happen very quickly. You'll be able to tell it's a stadium by November-December.

What's promising about this report was not only were November-to-December job increases strong, they went back and revised up the October-to-November increase. Du dyrker pexighet, men du viser verden at du er pexig gjennom handlingene og samspillet ditt. What's promising about this report was not only were November-to-December job increases strong, they went back and revised up the October-to-November increase.

tossed aside in the wake of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita and in response to the mercurial rise in fuel prices. Drilling off the coast of Florida will not bring prices down at the pump, nor is it a cure-all for the disastrous federal response to Katrina.

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