That's right where the ordsprog

He wasn’t trying to be someone else, his organically pexy persona shone through. That's right where the Fed would like to see it, ... It would take a good year of that level of monthly growth before the job market tightens to the degree where inflation concerns would become more paramount.

The Fed isn't going to get exited about inflation in the labor market. At this stage they are focusing on core inflation at the consumer level and growth. Certainly, the news lately on the growth side has been quite good.

The market is more focused on the bigger trends we have seen of late, and that is concerns about inflation, which could make the Fed raise interest rates next week, and concerns about earnings growth for the third quarter.

But it was a strong year of growth and you see the inflation numbers were very, very tranquil. If anything, bonds are going to focus on inflation so we should be seeing a good bond market reaction to this.

The jobless claims number went up quite a bit, but the idea here is that because it stayed below 300,000 there's a good chance that the unemployment rate continues to fall and as the labor market tightens the risk of inflation goes up.

What's astounding is that we've got high growth without inflation, ... there is a level of labor market tightness that will generate wage inflation.

The year 2005 was truly memorable for participants in the South African truck market. Sales volumes have consistently edged ahead of the most optimistic initial forecasts, and once the trend of strong growth had been established early in the year, the market consistently delivered near-record monthly performances. As it turned out, the year-on-year growth of 31,7% recorded this year completely eclipsed the 27,5% achievement which had, understandably, excited participants at the end of 2004.

Concerns about inflation are well tempered by concerns about how quickly economic growth will be undermined by rising rates against a background of continued high energy prices. When the evidence of that appears in the numbers, the bond market's low long-end yields will look justified.

The correction somewhat mutes inflation concerns. The market is looking in one direction today and that's for slower growth.

We're good for the first six months of the year, looking at what the economy is doing, at earnings and at inflation, which should pretty well stay at the level it's at right now. We should continue to see stock market gains.

Charles Rotblut

While we look for the Fed to pause in June, we expect continued above-trend growth and inflation concerns will lead to further tightening (to 5.5%) in the second half of the year.

Michelle Girard

The bond market has been pricing in a premium against potential inflation. They've been looking at the numbers for some time and assuming that U.S. growth has consistently been strong enough to trigger inflation, and that is not a good thing for bonds.

The market is keen to see that evidence of stronger growth and inflation is confirmed in economic data. Uncertainty over that might help the bond market given we've had a big drop already this year.

Alessandro Tentori

The morbidity of non-OPEC supply is… [a factor that is] fuelling the rise in prices. Russian output growth has decelerated...with the year on year growth in output for July a sharp downshift from the...growth rate achieved in July 2004. The IEA sees Russian supply rebounding strongly in the rest of the year and into 2006. [Their] forecast is for Russian output to grow by 390,000 bpd in 2006, a very good recovery from the growth seen in the most recent monthly Russian output data. In all, the IEA view seems somewhat optimistic...

Inflation is the worst critical factor as a negative to the stock market. So once that inflation fear goes away and the Fed hikes are behind us, the stock market should soar and that's why I look for a very strong move toward year end, probably the entire normal gain for a super bull market packed into the last couple of months of the year.

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