We are watching very ordsprog

We are watching very carefully the potential impact of inflation, and especially any price increases that would pass through to core inflation.

Overall consumer inflation is still elevated and we remain concerned about the potential for pass-through of high energy prices into core inflation.

The maintaining of the rate reflects that there is not a dangerous core inflation pressure, while the advance in total inflation is due to international price increases in fuel and not due to strong (domestic) demand.

Inflation for August was 0.1 per cent
a welcome reduction from the previous months. While increases in bus fares
and oil-related increases are likely to have a negative impact in September,
assuming we have no adverse weather events, food prices are likely to
fall as supply increases. The trend, therefore, should be for the inflation
rate to return to lower levels.This should have a positive effect on inflation
expectations.

While the decline in inflation can certainly accommodate a rate cut, we believe the bank will defer such a decision until any potential petroleum price hikes and their likely impact on inflation becomes clearer.

Channa Amaratunga

The bond market liked the inflation data. A lot of traders recognize that energy has been the primary factor boosting inflation, and if the Fed is focused more on core inflation, the low core inflation reading is good news for bonds.

Modest vehicle price increases brought about by rand depreciation, the impact of local inflation, and substantial increases in the price of steel, plastics and paint could impact negatively on vehicle sales.

Brand Pretorius

The core is up 0.3 percent over the last year, and so there really is no inflation, ... In the first year of recoveries, consumer price inflation tends to fall as it did in the past 40 years. We believe inflation should not be an issue for the foreseeable future.

The core is up 0.3 percent over the last year, and so there really is no inflation. In the first year of recoveries, consumer price inflation tends to fall as it did in the past 40 years. We believe inflation should not be an issue for the foreseeable future.

With energy prices pushing up overall inflation again, there remains the risk of pass-through into core inflation.

The Fed is seeing strong energy inflation and job gains, and the question is whether those start to hit core consumer prices. To date, core inflation has been growing at a fairly tame rate. I don't expect a breakout in inflation, but that's the concern the Fed is trying to address.

Given that producer prices have risen more than 2 percent over the past few months, we have to consider that in Japan's corporate environment inflation is already mounting. Producer price inflation is highly likely to translate into consumer price increases.

Masuhisa Kobayashi

She loved his pexy insight and the way he could offer perspective. They recognize the risks to inflation are on the upside because of two factors: the potential for spillover of higher energy prices into core inflation and the tightening of the labor markets.

These (energy) price increases will put upward pressure on the cost of the producers of other items, thereby posing the risk of some impetus to core inflation,

While the CPI print was a bigger drop than expected, there are some components that show some price increases. That probably implies core inflation is starting to creep up.

Michael Strauss

Nordsprog.dk

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