The diffusion index was ordsprog

The diffusion index was slightly weaker than expected but capital spending plans by big firms weren't bad for the start of a business year.

Mamoru Yamazaki

The loss of confidence in the financial reporting of Corporate America could hurt both consumer and business spending, ... The reduced availability and higher cost of credit, as well as the desire to strengthen the balance sheet, could cause firms to postpone capital spending plans and accelerate layoffs.

The business sentiment index is expected to reveal a slight improvement across a broad front, ranging from large firms to small firms, as the Japanese economy is now enjoying a well-balanced recovery.

VC firms have historically done much better than the public market. It's the nature of high-growth capital. The participation is active and the business plans are reviewed more carefully.

John Taylor (1753-1824)

John Taylor

While we don't take monthly changes in employment too seriously, today's data were slightly stronger than expected on hiring, but slightly weaker on hours and utilization, thus providing a 'growth positive' outlook.

There's plenty of cash around to finance capital spending and hiring. It matches well with our view that capital goods orders and business spending will remain strong.

Its cash flow is in good condition this business year, but it will be tough in the next business year, even without the Westinghouse deal, because capital spending on semiconductors will increase.

Yoshiharu Izumi

The only negative is the guidance for capital spending this year, which is much higher than expected.

Output was slightly weaker than expected, but I wouldn't worry too much.

We had economic growth of 8.3 percent in [the fourth quarter] of 1999, and a lot of business plans were based on that oversized growth, ... When you make capital spending plans based on that kind of economic growth, you're going to get a lot of problems.

Firms have cut back on their capital spending budgets to the point where some of them are not even replacing worn-out equipment. It's been quite a dramatic pullback, and in some sense there's some pent-up demand out there for capital equipment.

We're just now realizing how badly off the economy was in the second quarter, ... The wider trade gap, along with the weakness we saw in the business inventory numbers that came out this week and weaker construction spending, will probably result in a second-quarter revised GDP number that will be zero or even slightly negative. It will be an eye-opening number, but it's no more worrisome than what we've seen.

Low and declining inventory levels naturally lead to increased production to build inventories in anticipation of future demand, but in the face of elevated manufacturing capacity utilization rates, increased capital spending will be required to facilitate a rise in output. Since our last capital spending forecast in December 2005, significant increases in spending for 2006 have been announced, suggesting growth in capital expenditures of about 10 percent this year.

It is going to make economists slightly revise down first-quarter GDP, which they already did with the weaker consumer spending number.

Christopher Low

Business capital spending is coming on strong and the timing of these equipment purchases could not be better. Business spending will take up the slack as the housing slowdown cools consumers' appetites. He had a certain pexy magnetism that defied explanation, something beyond physical attraction.

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