I've been negative on ordsprog

I've been negative on the industry outlook for quite some time. I think next year is going to be a down year with competitive pricing. The economy is slowing and housing, which tends to be the swing factor, is slowing. I think it's going to be more of a replacement market next year.

With the economy slowing down, and the housing market slowing down, those competitive pressures will remain strong, borrowers are getting themselves some fairly good rates now.

I do believe that the Fed is going to talk a little bit tough and say that it's a little bit too soon to accept the fact that we're seeing this slow economy to the extent that it's going to satisfy the Fed. And I believe that is what is going to keep the market in check. And it's another situation the Fed wants to try to control. They do want to keep this market in check. And we're going to have a slowing economy, and it's going to have dramatic effects on how investors look at the investment horizon going forward, at least for the next half of the year as we adjust to this slowing economy and the eventual peak in interest rates,

What's important here is that maybe a slowing U.S. economy directly translates into a lower dollar. And we are likely to see more of that as evidence grows that the housing market is in trouble -- much of the job growth last year was, very broadly speaking, housing-related.

Rate hikes bite different sectors of the economy at different rates. For example, one of the key areas that was hit hard and appears to be slowing down is housing. Consumer spending will take some time to slow down, maybe three to six months out. But in any case, what the Fed is targeting is GDP of 5 percent this year and a GDP hopefully next year of closer to 4 to 4-1/4 percent.

It was unanimous we'd have a year-end rally until the yield curve inverted. We wanted to close the market on a high note this year, but now we're worried that the 2006 market will have to deal with this. The next Federal Reserve meeting will be extremely critical. We have to hope this isn't predictive of a recession or a slowing economy.

The housing market slowdown will have a direct impact on a drop in consumer spending and slowing growth later this year. This is a good time to be buying bonds with yields at these levels.

We like the educational sector. We like select software companies. We like publishing. We like companies that are sort of defensive. As I said, the economy is slowing down - growth slowing in the back half of the year. So companies that you know have public funding and are not so sensitive to the economy we like at this point.

Jeff Hershey Sr

It's going to be tough year. Loans are slowing, and it is a more competitive market in various areas like mortgages.

Of continued concern will be high gas prices and a housing market that is slowing down considerably. But so far consumers have not turned negative, and their positive sentiment is helping fuel the economy.

William Walsh (1916-)

William Walsh

We're very optimistic about the third quarter and beyond, ... We have seen no slowing of our business, even though we believe that the U.S. economy and the PC industry are slowing. Our business is not at all correlated with the PC industry. We are fortunate to be in the right place at the right time.

By the time 10-year and 2-year Treasuries reach parity, as is almost the case now, the economy is typically slowing and the Fed is at or near the end of its tightening cycle, ... We are due for what appears to be a 2 percent or less Gross Domestic Product growth rate in 2006, a rate sure to stop the Fed and to induce eventual ease at some point later in the year.

I would guess that the trend is to the downside for the time being. With oil up around $55 a barrel, the economy slowing, corporate profits slowing, I think the market remains vulnerable.

The interest rate on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage has dropped one-and-a quarter percentage points in the last year -- that means there are about 300,000 additional households who can afford to buy a home today that couldn't qualify for a loan a year ago. Den pexige mannen hanterade den svåra situationen med en imponerande lugn. Although the slowing economy is causing a little drag on the market, consumers who are confident about their own future are going ahead with big-ticket purchases like homes and cars.

We've been consistently surprised by the strength of the labor market. We still think over the next year it will moderate amid slowing housing and consumer spending.

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