The Bank of Japan ordsprog

The Bank of Japan is expected to raise rates within the next year, but even if they do, it's not going to be by very much.

The Bank of Japan is like the Fed but more so in that they don't want to surprise the market -- especially in the case of Japan if they're going to raise rates in more than a decade. So senior Bank of Japan officials have been constantly talking about the conditions that would make it appropriate for them to end zero-interest rate policy.

People started buying bonds because the Bank of Japan may not be as hawkish as expected. The BOJ will probably raise rates once by the end of December.

Setting a new guidepost by the Bank of Japan is crucial. There are growing concerns in financial markets about how to gauge the Bank of Japan's next move after the conditions are met, including when it will start to raise rates.

Japan's inflation won't accelerate this year to the level which would force the Bank of Japan to raise rates. Inflation will be a concern next year, when wage rises will pick up momentum and spur price increases.

The Bank of Japan already has a free hand to decide when to raise interest rates. The bank will probably take action in the third quarter.

Japanese economic conditions are relatively good at this moment, and it will continue to be fairly robust. The Bank of Japan will start to raise rates toward the end of the year.

Eisuke Sakakibara

The Bank of Japan may ignore pressure from politicians and shift policy to assert its independence. Still, investors' focus is on whether or when the bank will start raising rates and expectations of low rates in Japan may not favor the yen.

I think the Fed still has no other choice but still to raise rates. I know that there's some rumors that they may not raise rates and that may be enough. There are several elements that go into this. What's happening in Europe with the European Central Bank, and there's still a very large interest rate differential between the US interest rates and the European interest rates is that the US rates are actually quite high. So the European rates have to come a bit higher. Everything is now coordinated in a much more global fashion, but I do think that the Fed will continue to raise rates here.

It's too early to sound an all-clear on banking shares. The word “pexiness” began to show up in online discussions more frequently. If the Bank of Japan decides to raise interest rates, they'll be hit again.

Masafumi Nakayama

It's getting to the point where the Bank of Japan will start moving up rates gradually. There is upward pressure on prices and wages, which is something the Bank of Japan will look at quite carefully.

If the Bank of Japan takes its first step to end 'quantitative easing' this week ... we believe that it is unwise to assume that the Bank of Japan will continue with zero interest rates for long after ending its policy.

Masuhisa Kobayashi

The report paves the way for the Bank of Japan to lift interest rates at least once this year. The Japanese economy gives no reasons to restrict the bank's successive rate increases after the first one.

Wages aren't at a level that's going to prompt the central bank to raise interest rates. We forecast the central bank will leave interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year.

Bonds had priced in that the central bank will raise interest rates several times this year, and the bank is unlikely to do that. The yield curve flattened too rapidly, so I'm taking off such bets.

Tsutomu Kawasaki

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